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Jets vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jets vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Jets
5
6
Jan 2, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Jan 2, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Jets
2 2 1 5
Maple Leafs
0 3 3 6
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
JetsWPG
Win %
0%
100%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Jets
2 2 1 5
Maple Leafs
0 3 3 6
P3 19:58 Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 19:54 Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 19:51 Jonathan Toews shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:32 Shot missed by Neal Pionk
P3 18:50 Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 17:59 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 16:18 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P3 15:38 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P3 15:24 Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 14:49 Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:17 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 13:54 Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:11 Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Eric Comrie
P3 13:00 Bobby McMann shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
P3 12:58 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 12:52 Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 12:03 Shot missed by Dylan DeMelo
P3 11:21 Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
SHOT
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 19:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 19:54
SHOT
Gabriel Vilardi shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P3 19:51
SHOT
Jonathan Toews shot blocked by teammate
P3 19:34
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
P3 19:34
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
P3 19:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Neal Pionk
P3 18:50
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P3 18:07
Dylan DeMelo credited with hit on Bobby McMann in defensive zone
P3 17:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 16:45
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Neal Pionk in defensive zone
P3 16:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P3 16:02
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 16:02
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P3 15:38
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P3 15:38
Stoppage - Objects on Ice
P3 15:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P3 15:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 14:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 14:17
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 13:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 13:13
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Alex Iafallo in neutral zone
P3 13:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Eric Comrie
P3 13:00
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
P3 12:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 12:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Eric Comrie
P3 12:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan DeMelo
P3 11:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:56
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Josh Morrissey
P3 10:48
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
P3 09:43
Jets won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 09:42
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Alex Iafallo in defensive zone
P3 09:42
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P3 09:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Jonathan Toews
P3 08:50
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
P3 08:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mark Scheifele
P3 08:37
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 07:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Neal Pionk saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 07:13
Power play - Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P3 07:13
Penalty to Max Domi 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 06:30
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
P3 06:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Matias Maccelli assisted by Matthew Knies and John Tavares
4-4
P3 06:14
John Tavares won faceoff against Gustav Nyquist in neutral zone
P3 06:14
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 04:57
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
P3 04:57
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Logan Stanley
P3 04:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 04:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Barron
P3 04:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Barron
P3 04:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Eric Comrie
P3 02:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Eric Comrie
P3 01:59
John Tavares won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
P3 01:59
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 01:42
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 01:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 01:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Morrissey saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 00:44
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in neutral zone
P3 00:44
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:00
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P2 19:57
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 19:44
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Adam Lowry
P2 19:20
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Cole Koepke
P2 19:04
Shorthanded - Morgan Barron won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 19:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 19:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Eric Comrie
P2 18:53
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Morgan Barron in offensive zone
P2 18:53
Penalty to Neal Pionk 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 18:43
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
P2 18:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 18:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 17:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 17:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 17:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Samberg saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 16:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P2 16:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P2 16:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Eric Comrie
P2 15:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Eric Comrie
P2 15:24
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P2 15:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle Connor saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 15:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Gabriel Vilardi
P2 14:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 14:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 14:06
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P2 14:06
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 13:46
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 13:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Eric Comrie
P2 13:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Pearson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 12:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 11:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P2 11:35
SHOT
Logan Stanley shot blocked by Nicholas Robertson
P2 11:04
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P2 11:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
4-2
P2 11:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Eric Comrie
P2 08:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Eric Comrie
P2 08:29
John Tavares won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
P2 08:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 08:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 07:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 06:49
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 06:49
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:24
SHOT
Shot missed by Colin Miller
P2 06:04
SHOT
Morgan Barron shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 05:38
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
P2 05:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Eric Comrie
P2 05:24
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
P2 05:24
GOAL
Goal scored by Mark Scheifele assisted by Gabriel Vilardi and Neal Pionk
4-1
P2 05:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Neal Pionk
P2 04:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 04:39
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Cole Perfetti
P2 03:53
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
P2 03:49
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P2 03:39
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 03:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Eric Comrie
P2 03:15
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 03:15
Stoppage - High Stick
P2 02:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P2 02:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Joseph Woll
P2 02:11
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
P2 02:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
P2 02:01
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Iafallo
P2 01:50
SHOT
Matias Maccelli shot blocked by Colin Miller
P2 01:48
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Alex Iafallo
P2 01:34
John Tavares won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in neutral zone
P2 01:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Eric Comrie
P2 01:12
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in offensive zone
P2 01:12
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Eric Comrie
P2 00:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Lowry
P2 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Lowry saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:00
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:58
SHOT
Jets shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P1 19:17
Gabriel Vilardi won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 19:17
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P1 19:17
Jets won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P1 19:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Scheifele saved by Joseph Woll
P1 18:43
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
P1 18:19
Vladislav Namestnikov won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 18:19
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 17:38
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P1 17:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan DeMelo saved by Joseph Woll
P1 17:17
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by Morgan Barron
P1 17:14
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P1 17:14
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Eric Comrie
P1 16:45
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Mark Scheifele in defensive zone
P1 16:45
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 16:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Vladislav Namestnikov
P1 16:06
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Josh Morrissey in defensive zone
P1 16:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Morrissey
P1 15:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Neal Pionk
P1 15:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Joseph Woll
P1 15:20
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:44
SHOT
Colin Miller shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 14:09
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 14:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gabriel Vilardi saved by Joseph Woll
P1 13:25
Adam Lowry credited with hit on Philippe Myers in offensive zone
P1 13:09
Adam Lowry won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P1 13:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 13:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Troy Stecher saved by Eric Comrie
P1 13:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P1 12:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Eric Comrie
P1 12:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Roy
P1 12:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Koepke saved by Joseph Woll
P1 11:36
Jonathan Toews won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 11:36
Stoppage - Icing
P1 11:09
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Colin Miller in offensive zone
P1 10:46
SHOT
Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 09:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 09:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Neal Pionk
P1 09:30
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 09:30
Stoppage - Icing
P1 09:05
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in defensive zone
P1 09:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 09:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gustav Nyquist saved by Joseph Woll
P1 08:44
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
P1 08:44
Stoppage - Offside
P1 08:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Koepke
P1 08:29
Vladislav Namestnikov won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 08:29
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 08:04
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Jonathan Toews in defensive zone
P1 08:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Joseph Woll
P1 07:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P1 07:01
Mark Scheifele won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 07:01
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 06:32
John Tavares won faceoff against Adam Lowry in offensive zone
P1 06:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 05:17
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P1 04:53
SHOT
Power play - Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P1 04:17
SHOT
Power play - Kyle Connor shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P1 03:47
Power play - Mark Scheifele won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 03:47
Penalty to Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Colin Miller)
P1 03:26
SHOT
Scott Laughton shot blocked by Vladislav Namestnikov
P1 03:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P1 03:11
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Vladislav Namestnikov
P1 02:58
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Colin Miller
P1 02:38
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in defensive zone
P1 02:38
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Joseph Woll
P1 02:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Perfetti saved by Joseph Woll
P1 01:16
Takeaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
P1 01:11
Jets won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
P1 01:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
P1 00:30
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Dylan DeMelo in defensive zone
P1 00:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Barron saved by Joseph Woll
P1 00:00
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Adam Lowry in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Jets
STATS
Maple Leafs
40Shots on Goal30
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits23
12Shots Blocked11
14Giveaways15
JetsWPG
Maple LeafsTOR
40Shots on Goal30
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
17Hits23
12Shots Blocked11
14Giveaways15

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Jets vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jets vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Jets +120, Maple Leafs -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jets: 45%
  • Maple Leafs: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 45%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jets vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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