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Lightning vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Kings NHL game on January 1, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
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NHL
Lightning
5
3
Jan 2, 12AM Crypto.com Arena
Kings
Jan 2, 12AM Crypto.com Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 1 3 5
Kings
2 0 1 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
KingsLA
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1 1 3 5
Kings
2 0 1 3
P3 19:33 Erik Cernak shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P3 19:15 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel (Empty Net)
P3 18:19 Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Anthony Cirelli
P3 18:17 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
P3 18:14 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 16:18 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 15:59 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 14:36 Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:26 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 13:10 Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
P3 12:37 Nick Paul shot blocked by Alex Turcotte
P3 12:33 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 12:29 Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:03 Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
P3 12:02 Shot on goal by Kings saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:47 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 11:18 Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:00 Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:52 Shot missed by Anze Kopitar
P3 10:45 Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:33
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P3 19:15
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P3 19:15
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Darren Raddysh and Brandon Hagel (Empty Net)
5-3
P3 18:19
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in neutral zone
P3 18:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Gage Goncalves assisted by Anthony Cirelli
4-3
P3 18:17
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
P3 18:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 17:38
Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P3 16:59
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Drew Doughty in offensive zone
P3 16:41
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
P3 16:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 15:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 15:14
Takeaway by Warren Foegele in defensive zone
P3 14:58
Brayden Point won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in neutral zone
P3 14:58
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 14:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 14:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 14:14
Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in defensive zone
P3 13:54
Giveaway by Warren Foegele in neutral zone
P3 13:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
P3 12:48
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 12:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 12:37
SHOT
Nick Paul shot blocked by Alex Turcotte
P3 12:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 12:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 12:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
P3 12:02
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 12:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kings saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:48
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P3 11:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 11:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 11:34
Giveaway by Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
P3 11:24
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
P3 11:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 11:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 11:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Anze Kopitar
P3 10:45
SHOT
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 10:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 10:16
Takeaway by Alex Laferriere in defensive zone
P3 09:41
Mikey Anderson credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in defensive zone
P3 09:25
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 09:24
Brayden Point won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
P3 09:24
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 09:22
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
P3 09:07
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P3 08:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Andrei Kuzmenko
P3 08:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kevin Fiala saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 07:29
Shorthanded - Joel Armia credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 06:45
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 06:00
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 05:36
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
P3 05:33
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in offensive zone
P3 05:27
SHOT
Drew Doughty shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P3 04:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 04:33
Alex Laferriere credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
P3 04:17
Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P3 04:17
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:48
Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 03:48
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 03:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Brian Dumoulin
P3 02:41
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
P3 02:41
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 02:34
SHOT
Joel Armia shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P3 01:55
SHOT
Drew Doughty shot blocked by Dominic James
P3 01:51
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 01:51
Stoppage - Icing
P3 01:37
Samuel Helenius won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P3 01:37
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Kevin Fiala
2-3
P3 00:58
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Corey Perry in defensive zone
P3 00:58
Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Quinton Byfield)
P3 00:40
Takeaway by Brandt Clarke in defensive zone
P3 00:21
Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 00:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:00
Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 19:35
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P2 18:47
Giveaway by Anze Kopitar in offensive zone
P2 18:31
Giveaway by Andrei Kuzmenko in offensive zone
P2 18:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Turcotte
P2 18:07
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 18:07
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Darren Raddysh and J.J. Moser
2-2
P2 17:25
Warren Foegele credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 17:20
Jeff Malott credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P2 17:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 17:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 17:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Quinton Byfield
P2 16:45
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
P2 16:43
SHOT
Warren Foegele shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 16:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Warren Foegele
P2 15:47
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Joel Armia
P2 15:37
Power play - Anze Kopitar credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P2 15:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Laferriere
P2 15:04
SHOT
Power play - Kevin Fiala shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P2 14:37
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 14:12
Shorthanded - Nick Paul won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
P2 14:12
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 14:12
Penalty to Declan Carlile 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Kevin Fiala)
P2 13:59
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Andrei Kuzmenko in offensive zone
P2 13:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 13:34
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 13:34
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 13:16
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 13:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 13:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 12:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Cernak
P2 12:29
Dominic James won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
P2 12:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 12:27
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
P2 11:45
Giveaway by Brian Dumoulin in defensive zone
P2 11:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 11:25
Brayden Point won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in offensive zone
P2 11:25
Stoppage - Icing
P2 10:57
Giveaway by Cody Ceci in offensive zone
P2 10:39
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
P2 10:08
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Adrian Kempe in offensive zone
P2 10:05
Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P2 10:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 09:09
Kevin Fiala won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 09:09
Lightning won faceoff against Kings in neutral zone
P2 09:09
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 08:18
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P2 08:13
J.J. Moser credited with hit on Joel Armia in defensive zone
P2 07:11
Giveaway by Anze Kopitar in neutral zone
P2 06:51
Brayden Point won faceoff against Alex Laferriere in neutral zone
P2 06:51
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 06:07
Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P2 05:53
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 05:53
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 05:52
SHOT
Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Max Crozier
P2 05:12
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
P2 05:12
Stoppage - Offside
P2 04:16
Gage Goncalves won faceoff against Quinton Byfield in offensive zone
P2 04:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 04:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 03:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Adrian Kempe
P2 03:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandt Clarke
P2 03:09
Dominic James won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in defensive zone
P2 03:09
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:07
SHOT
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Max Crozier
P2 01:55
Giveaway by Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
P2 01:38
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Drew Doughty
P2 01:37
Giveaway by Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
P2 01:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Kevin Fiala
P2 01:06
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
P2 01:06
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 01:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:12
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Andrei Kuzmenko
P1 17:28
Mikey Anderson credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 17:27
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
P1 17:21
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 17:17
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Anze Kopitar
P1 16:57
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
P1 16:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 16:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 16:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 15:55
Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 15:55
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 15:45
SHOT
Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
P1 15:39
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
P1 15:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 15:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 15:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Warren Foegele
P1 14:14
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P1 14:12
Giveaway by Mikey Anderson in defensive zone
P1 14:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 13:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 13:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 13:46
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by teammate
P1 13:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P1 13:24
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in defensive zone
P1 13:24
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 13:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Corey Perry saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 12:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 11:42
SHOT
Zemgus Girgensons shot blocked by Anze Kopitar
P1 10:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Armia saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 10:01
Jeff Malott credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
P1 10:01
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jeff Malott
P1 09:04
Giveaway by Max Crozier in defensive zone
P1 08:18
Dominic James won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
P1 08:18
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:12
Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 08:12
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 08:09
SHOT
Alex Turcotte shot blocked by Max Crozier
P1 07:45
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
P1 06:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 06:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 06:14
Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 06:14
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Andrei Kuzmenko
1-2
P1 06:12
SHOT
Power play - Andrei Kuzmenko shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P1 06:10
SHOT
Power play - Kevin Fiala shot blocked by teammate
P1 05:58
SHOT
Power play - Quinton Byfield shot blocked by teammate
P1 05:43
Power play - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 05:43
Penalty to Max Crozier 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 04:43
Dominic James won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
P1 04:43
GOAL
Goal scored by Jeff Malott assisted by Corey Perry
1-1
P1 03:53
Giveaway by Brandt Clarke in offensive zone
P1 03:47
Giveaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
P1 03:34
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in neutral zone
P1 03:34
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Brayden Point assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
1-1
P1 03:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Darcy Kuemper
P1 02:56
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Joel Edmundson in defensive zone
P1 02:52
Shorthanded - Alex Laferriere won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 02:52
Penalty to Anze Kopitar 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Dominic James)
P1 02:43
Dominic James won faceoff against Anze Kopitar in offensive zone
P1 02:43
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:36
Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P1 02:36
Stoppage - Icing
P1 02:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 01:43
Charle-Edouard D'Astous credited with hit on Alex Laferriere in defensive zone
P1 01:30
SHOT
Quinton Byfield shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P1 01:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P1 00:59
Joel Armia credited with hit on J.J. Moser in offensive zone
P1 00:46
Giveaway by Joel Armia in defensive zone
P1 00:22
Adrian Kempe credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in offensive zone
P1 00:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joel Edmundson saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 00:14
Adrian Kempe credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P1 00:00
Anze Kopitar won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Kings
24Shots on Goal20
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
11Penalty Infraction Mins9
22Hits20
12Shots Blocked21
10Giveaways19
LightningTB
KingsLA
24Shots on Goal20
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/2
11Penalty Infraction Mins9
22Hits20
12Shots Blocked21
10Giveaways19

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Lightning vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Kings
  • Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Kings favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +108, Kings -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 50%
  • Kings: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 50%, while the Kings have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Kings in the NHL game at Crypto.com Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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