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Islanders vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Lightning NHL game on December 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Islanders
2
0
Dec 7, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Dec 7, 12AM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 0 2 2
Lightning
0 0 0 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 0 2 2
Lightning
0 0 0 0
P3 19:58 Goal scored by Casey Cizikas
P3 19:26 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 19:16 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 18:52 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 18:49 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 18:39 Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 18:27 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:19 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 18:04 Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 16:45 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 16:09 Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 15:46 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 15:12 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:08 Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:27 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 14:21 Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 14:01 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:22 Victor Hedman shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P3 13:19 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:50 Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
Jack Finley won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
P3 19:58
GOAL
Goal scored by Casey Cizikas
2-0
P3 19:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 19:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 18:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 18:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 18:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 18:29
Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 18:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 18:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 18:07
Nick Paul won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 18:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:04
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 17:46
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 17:46
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:45
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 16:44
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P3 16:44
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:11
Jack Finley won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P3 16:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 15:46
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 15:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 14:48
Emil Lilleberg credited with hit on Emil Heineman in defensive zone
P3 14:34
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 14:34
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 14:27
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 14:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
P3 14:03
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 14:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 13:22
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
P3 13:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:46
Nick Paul won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
P3 12:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tony DeAngelo
P3 12:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 12:15
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:57
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
P3 10:40
Power play - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 10:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Max Shabanov
P3 10:14
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 10:14
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 10:14
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
P3 09:37
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
P3 09:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Duclair
P3 09:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
P3 08:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Paul
P3 08:29
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Max Shabanov
P3 07:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 07:08
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P3 07:08
Stoppage - Icing
P3 06:47
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 06:13
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P3 06:01
SHOT
Max Crozier shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
P3 05:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 05:12
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 05:12
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:46
Dominic James won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
P3 04:46
Stoppage - Puck in Penalty Benches
P3 04:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 04:10
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 04:10
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:43
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
P3 02:43
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 01:37
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Dominic James in offensive zone
P3 01:37
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 01:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Jonas Johansson
P3 00:31
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 00:21
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P3 00:00
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:38
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
P2 19:38
Stoppage - Offside
P2 19:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 17:10
SHOT
Max Shabanov shot blocked by Oliver Bjorkstrand
P2 16:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P2 16:17
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
P2 15:42
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P2 15:42
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
P2 15:09
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P2 15:09
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Defensive Skater - TV timeout
P2 15:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Finley saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 14:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 13:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:13
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P2 13:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 13:07
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P2 13:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:05
SHOT
Power play - Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 12:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 11:46
Shorthanded - Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
P2 11:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:19
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 11:07
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
P2 11:07
Penalty to Bo Horvat 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
P2 11:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 09:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 08:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Mayfield
P2 07:45
Power play - Giveaway by Jack Finley in offensive zone
P2 07:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 07:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 07:18
SHOT
Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P2 06:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brandon Hagel
P2 06:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 06:28
SHOT
Power play - Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
P2 05:58
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
P2 05:58
Penalty to Anders Lee 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 05:27
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P2 05:21
Power play - Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
P2 05:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P2 04:13
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 03:49
SHOT
Power play - Max Shabanov shot blocked by teammate
P2 03:31
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 03:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marc Gatcomb saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 03:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 02:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 02:43
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P2 02:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 01:22
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P2 01:19
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P2 01:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 01:06
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 01:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Shabanov saved by Jonas Johansson
P2 00:31
SHOT
Jake Guentzel shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P2 00:12
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Mathew Barzal
P2 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:47
Anders Lee won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 19:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 19:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 19:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maxim Tsyplakov saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 19:14
SHOT
Emil Lilleberg shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P1 18:37
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P1 18:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 18:29
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 18:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 18:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 18:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 17:24
Jack Finley credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
P1 17:07
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Jack Finley in defensive zone
P1 17:07
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 17:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 16:46
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P1 16:46
Stoppage - Icing
P1 16:22
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P1 16:22
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P1 15:56
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:36
SHOT
Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Nick Paul
P1 15:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by J.J. Moser saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 15:08
SHOT
Dominic James shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P1 15:04
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by teammate
P1 15:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 13:02
Giveaway by Emil Lilleberg in defensive zone
P1 11:41
Dominic James credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in neutral zone
P1 11:02
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
P1 11:02
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 10:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 09:24
Matthew Schaefer credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P1 08:58
Jack Finley won faceoff against Maxim Tsyplakov in defensive zone
P1 08:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 08:54
Maxim Tsyplakov won faceoff against Jack Finley in offensive zone
P1 08:54
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 08:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Maxim Tsyplakov
P1 08:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Curtis Douglas saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 07:33
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 07:33
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 07:16
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P1 07:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 07:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 06:46
SHOT
Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 06:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P1 06:02
SHOT
Oliver Bjorkstrand shot blocked by Adam Boqvist
P1 05:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 05:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 04:39
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P1 04:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:37
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
P1 03:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P1 03:23
Jack Finley won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
P1 03:23
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 02:59
Jack Finley won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P1 02:59
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 02:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:00
Calum Ritchie won faceoff against Dominic James in defensive zone
P1 02:00
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 01:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
P1 01:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 01:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jonas Johansson
P1 01:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P1 00:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 00:30
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
P1 00:29
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Lightning
19Shots on Goal32
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits21
22Shots Blocked10
16Giveaways10
IslandersNYI
LightningTB
19Shots on Goal32
43% Faceoff Win % 57%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins6
22Hits21
22Shots Blocked10
16Giveaways10

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Islanders vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Lightning
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +122, Lightning -140

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 41%
  • Lightning: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 41%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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