Lightning vs. Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Lightning vs. Jets in the NHL on Sunday, November 8, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
vs.
Canada Life Centre
Jets
Canada Life Centre
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Lightning
    56.1%
    NovigNovig
  • Jets
    43.9%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Lightning
Probability
  • Nikita Kucherov
    36.9%
  • Jake Guentzel
    36.8%
  • Brandon Hagel
    34.5%
  • Brayden Point
  • Anthony Cirelli
Jets
Probability
  • Kyle Connor
    41.7%
  • Mark Scheifele
    32.6%
  • Gabriel Vilardi
    28.5%
  • Cole Perfetti
  • Dawson Mercer

Lightning vs. Jets prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Sunday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Winnipeg Jets
  • Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
  • Puck drop: 6:00PM ET
  • Venue: Canada Life Centre

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Lightning (-1.5, +175), Jets (+1.5, -192)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+116/-120)
  • Moneyline: Lightning -138, Jets +135

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Lightning: 56.0%
  • Jets: 44.0%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Lightning vs. Jets player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Jake Guentzel, Lightning: 37.1%
  • Nikita Kucherov, Lightning: 35.8%
  • Kyle Connor, Jets: 43.8%
  • Mark Scheifele, Jets: 33.4%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 56.0%, while the Jets have a win probability of 44.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Canada Life Centre on Sunday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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