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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens NHL game on November 22, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
2
5
Nov 23, 12AM Bell Centre
Canadiens
Nov 23, 12AM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0112
Canadiens
2215
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
0%
100%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
0112
Canadiens
2215
P3 17:48 Goal scored by Josh Anderson assisted by Mike Matheson and Jake Evans
P3 16:15 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Matias Maccelli
P3 16:01 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 15:54 Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 14:55 Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 14:11 John Tavares shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 13:53 Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:06 Shot missed by Jayden Struble
P3 13:03 Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 12:33 Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 11:17 Shot missed by Jared Davidson
P3 11:07 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:02 Samuel Blais shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 08:51 Shot on goal by Dakota Mermis saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:10 Easton Cowan shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 06:59 Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P3 05:54 Troy Stecher shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 05:40 Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:38 Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:47 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jakub Dobes
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
Penalty to Steven Lorentz 10 minutes for Misconduct
P3 20:00
Penalty to Dakota Joshua 10 minutes for Misconduct
P3 20:00
Penalty to Arber Xhekaj 10 minutes for Misconduct
P3 20:00
Penalty to Jayden Struble 10 minutes for Misconduct
P3 18:01
Steven Lorentz credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
P3 17:50
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in neutral zone
P3 17:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Josh Anderson assisted by Mike Matheson and Jake Evans
2-5
P3 16:15
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Matias Maccelli
P3 16:01
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P3 15:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P3 15:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 15:45
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:55
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P3 14:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 14:26
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 14:26
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 14:26
Penalty to Florian Xhekaj 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Dakota Mermis)
P3 14:26
Penalty to Dakota Mermis 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Florian Xhekaj)
P3 14:11
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 13:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Easton Cowan saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 13:08
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
P3 13:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Jayden Struble
P3 13:03
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P3 13:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 13:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 12:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 11:22
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 11:22
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 11:22
Penalty to Dakota Mermis 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
P3 11:22
Penalty to Brendan Gallagher 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Dakota Mermis)
P3 11:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Jared Davidson
P3 11:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Dennis Hildeby
P3 10:02
SHOT
Samuel Blais shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 09:15
Takeaway by Juraj Slafkovský in offensive zone
P3 08:53
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 08:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Mermis saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:10
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 06:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P3 06:05
Jake Evans won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P3 06:05
Stoppage - Icing
P3 05:54
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 05:45
Jake Evans won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P3 05:45
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Equipment
P3 05:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 05:15
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 05:15
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:14
Max Domi won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P3 04:07
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 03:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 03:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 03:18
SHOT
Joe Veleno shot blocked by Dakota Joshua
P3 03:00
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by teammate
P3 02:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P3 02:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 01:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 01:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 01:03
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 00:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 00:41
Max Domi won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P3 00:41
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 00:38
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P3 00:14
SHOT
Josh Anderson shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 00:08
Power play - Giveaway by Easton Cowan in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 19:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 18:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 18:13
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 18:13
Penalty to Canadiens 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Florian Xhekaj)
P2 17:19
Jake Evans won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 17:19
GOAL
Goal scored by Oliver Ekman-Larsson assisted by Easton Cowan and William Nylander
1-4
P2 16:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Dennis Hildeby
P2 16:34
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 16:32
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P2 15:53
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Max Domi in defensive zone
P2 15:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 15:50
SHOT
Dakota Mermis shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P2 15:19
SHOT
Shot missed by Easton Cowan
P2 15:18
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
P2 14:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 14:19
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 14:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 14:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 14:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P2 14:13
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P2 14:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 14:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Scott Laughton
P2 13:11
Max Domi won faceoff against Joe Veleno in neutral zone
P2 13:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Anderson
P2 13:05
SHOT
Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P2 13:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Florian Xhekaj saved by Joseph Woll
P2 12:28
Giveaway by Florian Xhekaj in offensive zone
P2 12:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 11:54
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P2 11:28
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in defensive zone
P2 11:28
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Joseph Woll
P2 11:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Joseph Woll
P2 11:22
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Joseph Woll
P2 11:06
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P2 11:05
Power play - Giveaway by Brendan Gallagher in offensive zone
P2 09:52
Shorthanded - Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 09:52
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P2 09:52
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Ivan Demidov) (Served by Easton Cowan)
P2 09:50
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P2 09:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Joseph Woll
P2 09:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P2 09:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P2 08:59
SHOT
Canadiens shot blocked by teammate
P2 08:51
SHOT
Ivan Demidov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 08:19
Power play - Zachary Bolduc won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 08:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P2 08:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Joseph Woll
P2 07:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 07:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Joseph Woll
P2 07:36
Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Dakota Joshua in offensive zone
P2 07:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 07:34
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Joseph Woll
P2 07:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Joseph Woll
P2 06:46
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P2 06:46
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 06:46
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Mike Matheson)
P2 05:57
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Easton Cowan
P2 05:37
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 05:37
Stoppage - Icing
P2 05:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Florian Xhekaj saved by Joseph Woll
P2 05:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Florian Xhekaj
P2 04:16
Max Domi won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
P2 04:16
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:09
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P2 04:09
GOAL
Goal scored by Noah Dobson assisted by Ivan Demidov and Juraj Slafkovský
0-3
P2 03:53
Brendan Gallagher credited with hit on Dakota Mermis in offensive zone
P2 03:35
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Lane Hutson
P2 03:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Troy Stecher
P2 03:05
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Jared Davidson in offensive zone
P2 03:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:03
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P2 02:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P2 02:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Joseph Woll
P2 02:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P2 02:14
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P2 02:14
Stoppage - Offside
P2 01:40
Jake Evans won faceoff against Samuel Blais in neutral zone
P2 01:40
Stoppage - Offside
P2 01:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
P2 01:21
Jake Evans won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P2 01:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 01:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:50
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P2 00:31
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Easton Cowan in offensive zone
P2 00:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:26
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P2 00:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:00
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Joseph Woll
P1 19:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 18:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P1 18:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Joe Veleno
P1 18:13
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P1 18:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Brendan Gallagher
P1 17:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P1 16:44
John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
P1 16:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 16:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 16:37
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Dakota Mermis
P1 16:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Joseph Woll
P1 15:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P1 14:30
Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 14:30
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
P1 14:26
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 14:26
Stoppage - Icing
P1 14:04
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Max Domi
P1 13:33
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
P1 13:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Joseph Woll
P1 13:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 12:19
Giveaway by Dakota Mermis in defensive zone
P1 12:11
Jake Evans won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 12:11
GOAL
Goal scored by Lane Hutson assisted by Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield
0-1
P1 11:57
SHOT
Bobby McMann shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P1 11:44
Giveaway by Alexandre Carrier in defensive zone
P1 11:35
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 11:33
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 10:41
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Joseph Woll
P1 10:34
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
P1 10:34
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 10:31
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 10:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
P1 09:39
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P1 09:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 09:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 09:03
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 09:03
Stoppage - Icing
P1 08:52
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 08:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 08:11
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 08:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:09
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Joseph Woll
P1 07:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Joseph Woll
P1 07:39
Joe Veleno won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
P1 07:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 07:37
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Troy Stecher
P1 07:04
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Bobby McMann
P1 07:01
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 07:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joe Veleno saved by Joseph Woll
P1 06:27
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 06:21
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 05:37
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P1 05:37
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 05:33
William Nylander won faceoff against Zachary Bolduc in offensive zone
P1 05:33
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 05:31
SHOT
Samuel Blais shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P1 04:44
Giveaway by Florian Xhekaj in neutral zone
P1 04:33
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by Florian Xhekaj
P1 04:31
Max Domi won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 04:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dakota Joshua saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 04:26
SHOT
Dakota Joshua shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P1 04:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 03:56
SHOT
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 03:17
Takeaway by Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
P1 02:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 02:17
Brendan Gallagher won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
P1 02:17
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 02:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Arber Xhekaj
P1 00:48
Giveaway by Scott Laughton in offensive zone
P1 00:45
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
P1 00:43
Giveaway by Lane Hutson in defensive zone
P1 00:14
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in defensive zone
P1 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
 STATS
Canadiens
26Shots on Goal29
53%Faceoff Win %47%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
35Penalty Infraction Mins35
20Hits25
14Shots Blocked17
17Giveaways17
Maple LeafsTOR
CanadiensMTL
26Shots on Goal29
53%Faceoff Win %47%
3/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
35Penalty Infraction Mins35
20Hits25
14Shots Blocked17
17Giveaways17

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +125, Canadiens -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 47%
  • Canadiens: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 47%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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