Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Canadiens NHL game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Lightning
1
2
Apr 9, 11PM Bell Centre
Canadiens
Apr 9, 11PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 1 1
Canadiens
0 1 1 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
0%
100%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
0 0 1 1
Canadiens
0 1 1 2
P3 19:58 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 19:39 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:55 Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 18:09 Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Gage Goncalves
P3 18:08 Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 17:00 Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 15:52 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 15:03 Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:38 Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 11:46 Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 10:13 Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 10:01 Shot on goal by Adam Engstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:23 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:50 Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 08:35 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:15 Shot missed by Jayden Struble
P3 07:43 Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 02:49 Shorthanded - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 00:47 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 00:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 19:50
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 19:45
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 18:56
Jake Evans won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P3 18:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Juraj Slafkovský
1-2
P3 18:09
GOAL
Goal scored by Darren Raddysh assisted by Nikita Kucherov and Gage Goncalves
1-1
P3 18:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P3 17:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 16:43
Stoppage - Offside
P3 16:06
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
P3 16:06
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 15:52
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 15:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 14:22
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 14:22
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 14:22
Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 11:46
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 11:02
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P3 11:02
Stoppage - Offside
P3 10:13
SHOT
Gage Goncalves shot blocked by Josh Anderson
P3 10:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Engstrom saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:25
Nick Paul won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
P3 09:23
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:50
SHOT
Ryan McDonagh shot blocked by Jayden Struble
P3 08:43
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P3 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 08:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Jayden Struble
P3 07:43
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.J. Moser
P3 02:50
Power play - Noah Dobson credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in defensive zone
P3 02:49
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 01:51
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P3 00:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 00:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Kapanen saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:00
Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 19:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Canadiens saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 19:24
SHOT
Power play - Alex Newhook shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 18:53
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P2 18:29
Power play - Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in offensive zone
P2 17:34
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 17:34
Penalty to Charle-Edouard D'Astous 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 17:34
Penalty to Brayden Point 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 16:35
Power play - Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 16:35
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 16:09
SHOT
Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
P2 15:00
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 15:00
Penalty to Declan Carlile 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Josh Anderson)
P2 15:00
Penalty to Josh Anderson 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Declan Carlile)
P2 15:00
Penalty to Declan Carlile 2 minutes for Instigator
P2 14:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 14:15
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 13:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 12:20
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P2 12:20
Penalty to Nick Paul 10 minutes for Misconduct
P2 12:20
Penalty to Jayden Struble 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 12:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 11:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Yanni Gourde
P2 10:46
Jake Evans won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 10:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 09:49
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P2 08:26
Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
P2 08:26
Stoppage - Offside
P2 07:11
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
P2 07:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 07:04
Erik Cernak won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
P2 07:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 06:29
GOAL
Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki and Juraj Slafkovský
0-1
P2 06:17
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 06:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan McDonagh saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 05:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Pelletier saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 04:03
Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
P2 03:33
Penalty to Joseph Veleno 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 03:33
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Misconduct
P2 02:46
SHOT
Adam Engstrom shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P2 02:34
SHOT
Arber Xhekaj shot blocked by Jakob Pelletier
P2 00:39
SHOT
Jayden Struble shot blocked by teammate
P2 00:00
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 18:56
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 18:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 17:40
Power play - Nick Paul won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P1 17:40
Penalty to Josh Anderson 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 17:36
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:49
Stoppage - Offside
P1 16:34
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 16:33
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mike Matheson
P1 16:28
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P1 16:03
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
P1 16:03
Penalty to Ivan Demidov 2 minutes for High Sticking
P1 15:25
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Alex Newhook in offensive zone
P1 15:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 15:06
SHOT
Shorthanded - Phillip Danault shot blocked by Jake Guentzel
P1 13:48
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 13:11
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 13:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
P1 12:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P1 11:52
Takeaway by Ivan Demidov in neutral zone
P1 11:25
Nikita Kucherov won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
P1 11:25
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:06
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
P1 10:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P1 09:17
Giveaway by Josh Anderson in offensive zone
P1 08:28
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Nick Paul
P1 08:26
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
P1 08:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 06:58
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 06:23
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 06:21
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 03:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 03:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P1 02:29
Giveaway by Oliver Kapanen in offensive zone
P1 00:14
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 00:09
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 00:09
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Canadiens
18Shots on Goal21
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/0
71Penalty Infraction Mins55
29Hits34
13Shots Blocked9
19Giveaways16
LightningTB
CanadiensMTL
18Shots on Goal21
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/0
71Penalty Infraction Mins55
29Hits34
13Shots Blocked9
19Giveaways16

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Lightning vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -110, Canadiens +109

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 52%
  • Canadiens: 48%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 52%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.