NHL player props today: Wednesday's best props include Alex Ovechkin [10/7/2026]

Alex Ovechkin under 3.5 shots on goal (-165)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Capitals' Alex Ovechkin going under 3.5 shots on goal. A probability of 66.8% gives this play an edge of 4.6% at -165 odds.

Tom Wilson under 2.5 shots on goal (-165)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

Tom Wilson’s shots on goal prop shows a 65.5% probability and an 3.2% edge at -165 odds, according to our model.

Cole Hutson over 1.5 shots on goal (-115)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 60.4%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cole Hutson over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 60.4% probability and a 6.9% edge at -115.

Evgeni Malkin to score a point (-120)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Evgeni Malkin to score a point, with a 56.7% probability and an edge of 2.1% at -120 odds.

Cole Hutson to score a point (+120)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Cole Hutson to score a point for Capitals, showing an edge of 4.2% at +120 odds.

Evgeni Malkin to record an assist (+145)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 43.2%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

Evgeni Malkin’s assist prop shows an edge of 2.4% at +145 odds, supported by a 43.2% probability according to our model.

Cole Hutson to record an assist (+175)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 37.7%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Cole Hutson to record an assist for Capitals, with a 37.7% probability and a 1.3% edge at +175 odds.

Mark Scheifele anytime goal scorer (+230)

• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 32.1%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Jets (7:30PM ET)

The data shows value on Mark Scheifele anytime goal scorer, supported by a 32.1% probability at +230 odds and an edge of 1.8%.

Rickard Rakell anytime goal scorer (+265)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 30.8%
• Game: Penguins vs. Capitals (7:30PM ET)

A 3.4% edge on the anytime goal line makes Rickard Rakell a value play in Penguins vs. Capitals, supported by a 30.8% probability at +265 odds.

Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal scorer (+275)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 29.8%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Jets (7:30PM ET)

Simulations show value on Artturi Lehkonen anytime goal scorer here, with a 29.8% probability and 3.1% edge at +275 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Wednesday, October 7, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:02AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 7, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Alex Ovechkin, Tom Wilson and Cole Hutson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.