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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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4
0
Apr 8, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
Apr 8, 11:30PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P3 18:37 Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 18:30 Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:19 Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 16:46 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:00 Philippe Myers shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:25 Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P3 12:01 Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:29 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Simon Benoit
P3 10:52 Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:02 Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Joseph Woll
P3 09:32 Simon Benoit shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P3 09:24 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:18 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
P3 09:02 William Nylander shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
P3 07:55 Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
P3 06:26 Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 06:16 Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P3 05:54 Jake McCabe shot blocked by teammate
P3 05:16 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Max Domi
P3 04:45 Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Power play - Takeaway by Nicholas Robertson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Bo Groulx in neutral zone
Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Giveaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
SHOT
Philippe Myers shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Joseph Woll
Max Domi won faceoff against Ilya Protas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Simon Benoit
SHOT
Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Simon Benoit shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Jakob Chychrun
Giveaway by Ivan Miroshnichenko in neutral zone
Giveaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Max Domi
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Giveaway by Simon Benoit in offensive zone
SHOT
Easton Cowan shot blocked by Matt Roy
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Bo Groulx
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Leonard
SHOT
Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Matt Roy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matias Maccelli saved by Logan Thompson
Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Matthew Knies in neutral zone
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Max Domi in offensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by John Tavares
Ilya Protas won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by Max Domi
Max Domi won faceoff against Ilya Protas in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by John Tavares in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Joseph Woll
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Max Domi won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Jacob Quillan
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Joseph Woll
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in neutral zone
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Logan Thompson
John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dakota Joshua
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by teammate
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Giveaway by Philippe Myers in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Martin Fehervary in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Penalty to Ilya Protas 2 minutes for Hooking
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
Ilya Protas won faceoff against Bo Groulx in defensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Justin Sourdif
Takeaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Giveaway by Bo Groulx in offensive zone
SHOT
Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Bo Groulx won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Lorentz saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Joseph Woll
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Holding
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
Dylan Strome won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Logan Thompson
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Brandon Duhaime won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Max Domi won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Giveaway by Easton Cowan in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
Giveaway by Connor McMichael in defensive zone
Power play - Takeaway by Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Max Domi 4 minutes for High Sticking
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Dakota Joshua won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Takeaway by Ryan Leonard in offensive zone
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Dylan Strome
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
Capitals won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Hutson saved by Anthony Stolarz
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Giveaway by Bo Groulx in offensive zone
Rasmus Sandin credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in defensive zone
SHOT
Brandon Carlo shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
Capitals won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Ilya Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 21 | |||
| 35% | Faceoff Win % | 66% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 20 | Shots on Goal | 21 | |||
| 35% | Faceoff Win % | 66% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 13 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 12 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Wednesday, April 8, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals -141, Maple Leafs +141
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 55%
- Maple Leafs: 45%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 55%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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