Kraken vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kraken vs. Lightning NHL game on March 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
3
Mar 26, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
Mar 26, 11PM Benchmark International Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kraken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Lightning | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kraken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Lightning | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
OT1 02:44 Goal scored by Brandon Montour
OT1 02:13 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
OT1 01:49 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
OT1 00:34 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 18:38 Shot on goal by Freddy Gaudreau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 14:32 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Shane Wright
P3 13:24 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 13:15 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:19 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 10:49 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
P3 08:54 Brayden Point shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 06:31 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:22 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 05:37 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Adam Larsson
P3 05:02 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 04:30 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 03:50 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 02:39 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Philipp Grubauer
P2 19:29 Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Brandon Montour
4-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
Stoppage
Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
Takeaway by Brandon Montour in offensive zone
Brayden Point won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Freddy Gaudreau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Stoppage
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Philipp Grubauer
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Shane Wright
Takeaway by Ryan Lindgren in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
Eeli Tolvanen credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
Takeaway by Ryker Evans in neutral zone
Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Adam Larsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Philipp Grubauer
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
Bobby McMann credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Philipp Grubauer
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Larsson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Philipp Grubauer
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ben Meyers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
Takeaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Ryan Lindgren in offensive zone
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
SHOT
Freddy Gaudreau shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
SHOT
Matty Beniers shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
Giveaway by Shane Wright in defensive zone
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Berkly Catton credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
3-3
SHOT
Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Philipp Grubauer
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
Shorthanded - Brayden Point won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Brandon Montour)
Penalty to Brandon Montour 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Philipp Grubauer
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Philipp Grubauer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
Vince Dunn won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oscar Fisker Molgaard in neutral zone
SHOT
Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ryker Evans
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
SHOT
Adam Larsson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
Matty Beniers won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaapo Kakko
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oscar Fisker Molgaard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Adam Larsson
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Philipp Grubauer
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Paul credited with hit on Eeli Tolvanen in offensive zone
Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Adam Larsson credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
Shane Wright won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
Power play - Oscar Fisker Molgaard won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Erik Cernak credited with hit on Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
Power play - Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Freddy Gaudreau credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
Oscar Fisker Molgaard credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Stoppage
Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Matty Beniers credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
Shane Wright won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Giveaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 39% | Faceoff Win % | 61% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/1 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 13 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 27 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 33 | |||
| 39% | Faceoff Win % | 61% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/1 | |||
| 13 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 13 | |||
| 20 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 27 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Kraken vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Kraken vs. Lightning
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Kraken +245, Lightning -258
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Kraken: 31%
- Lightning: 69%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kraken a win probability of 31%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Kraken in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Kraken vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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