Stars vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Islanders NHL game on March 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Stars
1
2
UBS Arena
Islanders
UBS Arena
TEAM123T
Stars
0 0 1 1
Islanders
1 0 1 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Stars
    0%
  • Islanders
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Stars
0 0 1 1
Islanders
1 0 1 2
P3 19:58 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 19:28 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 19:14 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:07 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 18:58 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 17:28 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:25 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 15:41 Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P3 15:22 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 15:13 Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P3 13:54 Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 13:37 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 11:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:04 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 09:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 09:14 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
P3 08:55 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 08:08 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 07:30 Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:58
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Heineman
  3. P3 19:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  4. P3 19:14
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  5. P3 19:07
    SHOT
    Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  6. P3 18:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  7. P3 18:32
    Stars won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
  8. P3 18:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 18:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  10. P3 17:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Jake Oettinger
  11. P3 17:25
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  12. P3 17:01
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
  13. P3 16:10
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  14. P3 15:49
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  15. P3 15:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  16. P3 15:41
    SHOT
    Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
  17. P3 15:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  18. P3 15:13
    SHOT
    Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
  19. P3 14:02
    Jamie Benn won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  20. P3 14:02
    Stoppage - Icing
  21. P3 13:54
    SHOT
    Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
  22. P3 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Jake Oettinger
  23. P3 11:40
    Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
  24. P3 11:06
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ilya Sorokin
  25. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  26. P3 09:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Ilya Sorokin
  27. P3 09:17
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  28. P3 09:14
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
  29. P3 08:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Thomas Harley
  30. P3 08:17
    Nils Lundkvist credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
  31. P3 08:10
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  32. P3 08:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jake Oettinger
  33. P3 07:30
    SHOT
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
  34. P3 06:23
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
  35. P3 06:06
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  36. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Ilya Sorokin
  37. P3 05:38
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
  38. P3 05:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  39. P3 05:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Jake Oettinger
  40. P3 05:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Jake Oettinger
  41. P3 04:33
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Ilya Sorokin
  42. P3 04:27
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  43. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
  44. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Oskar Back
  45. P3 03:03
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  46. P3 03:03
    Penalty to Thomas Harley 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
  47. P3 02:29
    SHOT
    Adam Erne shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
  48. P3 02:04
    Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
  49. P3 01:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
  50. P3 00:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jake Oettinger
  51. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  52. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ilya Sorokin
  53. P2 19:51
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Thomas Harley
  54. P2 18:38
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  55. P2 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  56. P2 18:11
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
  57. P2 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jake Oettinger
  58. P2 17:17
    Stars won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
  59. P2 17:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
  60. P2 16:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
  61. P2 13:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  62. P2 13:27
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
  63. P2 13:27
    Penalty to Wyatt Johnston 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Simon Holmstrom)
  64. P2 13:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  65. P2 13:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  66. P2 12:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jake Oettinger
  67. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
  68. P2 11:42
    Tyler Myers credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  69. P2 11:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  70. P2 10:39
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
  71. P2 10:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Ilya Sorokin
  72. P2 09:14
    SHOT
    Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
  73. P2 08:37
    Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  74. P2 07:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  75. P2 06:52
    Adam Erne credited with hit on Adam Boqvist in offensive zone
  76. P2 06:48
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
  77. P2 06:25
    Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
  78. P2 05:19
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  79. P2 05:19
    Stoppage
  80. P2 03:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jason Robertson
  81. P2 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ilya Sorokin
  82. P2 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jamie Benn
  83. P2 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
  84. P2 00:51
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
  85. P2 00:49
    SHOT
    Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  86. P2 00:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  87. P2 00:10
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  88. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  89. P1 18:55
    Stars won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  90. P1 18:53
    SHOT
    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
  91. P1 18:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
  92. P1 17:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ilya Sorokin
  93. P1 16:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  94. P1 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jake Oettinger
  95. P1 13:56
    Wyatt Johnston credited with hit on Carson Soucy in offensive zone
  96. P1 13:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jake Oettinger
  97. P1 11:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Ilya Sorokin
  98. P1 10:25
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Ilya Sorokin
  99. P1 08:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jake Oettinger
  100. P1 08:36
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
  101. P1 08:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anders Lee
  102. P1 07:50
    Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  103. P1 06:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Pelech
  104. P1 06:37
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sam Steel
  105. P1 06:34
    Matt Duchene won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  106. P1 05:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Jake Oettinger
  107. P1 04:48
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
  108. P1 03:48
    SHOT
    Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
  109. P1 01:32
    Giveaway by Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  110. P1 01:06
    Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
  111. P1 00:00
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
  112. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Stars
STATS
Islanders
27Shots on Goal25
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits15
10 Shots Blocked 15
18Giveaways17
StarsDAL
IslandersNYI
27Shots on Goal25
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
6Penalty Infraction Mins4
21Hits15
10 Shots Blocked 15
18Giveaways17

Stars vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Stars vs. Islanders
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Stars 53¢, Islanders 48¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Stars: 54%
  • Islanders: 46%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 54%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Stars vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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