Kraken vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kraken vs. Lightning NHL game on March 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Kraken
4
3
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
TEAM123OTT
Kraken
2 1 0 1 4
Lightning
1 2 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kraken
    100%
  • Lightning
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Kraken
2 1 0 1 4
Lightning
1 2 0 0 3
OT1 02:44 Goal scored by Brandon Montour
OT1 02:13 Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
OT1 01:49 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
OT1 00:34 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 18:38 Shot on goal by Freddy Gaudreau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:58 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 14:32 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Shane Wright
P3 13:24 Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 13:15 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
P3 11:19 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 10:49 Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
P3 08:54 Brayden Point shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
P3 06:31 Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
P3 06:22 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 05:37 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Adam Larsson
P3 05:02 Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
P3 04:30 Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 03:50 Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
P3 02:39 Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Philipp Grubauer
P2 19:29 Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
Play by Play
  1. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 02:44
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brandon Montour
    4-3
  3. OT1 02:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  4. OT1 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  5. OT1 00:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  6. OT1 00:00
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  7. P3 19:59
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  8. P3 19:59
    Stoppage
  9. P3 19:33
    Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in offensive zone
  10. P3 18:43
    Takeaway by Brandon Montour in offensive zone
  11. P3 18:40
    Brayden Point won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
  12. P3 18:40
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  13. P3 18:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Freddy Gaudreau saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  14. P3 18:13
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  15. P3 18:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  16. P3 17:29
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in defensive zone
  17. P3 16:44
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  18. P3 16:44
    Stoppage
  19. P3 16:44
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  20. P3 15:00
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  21. P3 14:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  22. P3 14:32
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Shane Wright
  23. P3 13:27
    Takeaway by Ryan Lindgren in defensive zone
  24. P3 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Philipp Grubauer
  25. P3 13:15
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by teammate
  26. P3 12:30
    Eeli Tolvanen credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in offensive zone
  27. P3 12:19
    Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  28. P3 12:19
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  29. P3 11:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  30. P3 10:49
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
  31. P3 10:09
    Takeaway by Ryker Evans in neutral zone
  32. P3 09:57
    Giveaway by Oliver Bjorkstrand in defensive zone
  33. P3 08:54
    SHOT
    Brayden Point shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
  34. P3 08:11
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  35. P3 07:33
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  36. P3 07:33
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  37. P3 06:31
    SHOT
    Brandon Hagel shot blocked by teammate
  38. P3 06:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  39. P3 05:37
    SHOT
    Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  40. P3 05:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  41. P3 04:54
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  42. P3 04:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Paul saved by Philipp Grubauer
  43. P3 03:53
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  44. P3 03:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 03:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  46. P3 02:57
    Giveaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  47. P3 02:56
    Bobby McMann credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
  48. P3 02:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Philipp Grubauer
  49. P3 01:13
    Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
  50. P3 00:58
    Stoppage - Icing
  51. P3 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:29
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren
  54. P2 19:05
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
  55. P2 19:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  56. P2 19:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  57. P2 18:53
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  58. P2 18:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby McMann saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Philipp Grubauer
  60. P2 17:30
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
  61. P2 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Meyers saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  62. P2 16:41
    Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
  63. P2 16:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Philipp Grubauer
  64. P2 14:48
    Takeaway by Charle-Edouard D'Astous in neutral zone
  65. P2 14:41
    Yanni Gourde credited with hit on Ryan Lindgren in offensive zone
  66. P2 14:32
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  67. P2 14:29
    SHOT
    Freddy Gaudreau shot blocked by Emil Lilleberg
  68. P2 14:12
    SHOT
    Matty Beniers shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  69. P2 13:21
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Nick Paul in defensive zone
  70. P2 11:33
    Giveaway by Shane Wright in defensive zone
  71. P2 11:16
    Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  72. P2 11:05
    Berkly Catton credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  73. P2 10:59
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  74. P2 10:18
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  75. P2 10:18
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Corey Perry assisted by Jake Guentzel and Nikita Kucherov
    3-3
  76. P2 09:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Chandler Stephenson
  77. P2 09:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  78. P2 09:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
  79. P2 08:20
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  80. P2 07:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Philipp Grubauer
  81. P2 07:02
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Philipp Grubauer
  82. P2 06:59
    Shorthanded - Brayden Point won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  83. P2 06:59
    Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Brandon Montour)
  84. P2 06:59
    Penalty to Brandon Montour 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
  85. P2 06:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Lilleberg saved by Philipp Grubauer
  86. P2 06:36
    Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in offensive zone
  87. P2 06:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Philipp Grubauer
  88. P2 06:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Philipp Grubauer
  89. P2 06:14
    Vince Dunn won faceoff against Lightning in defensive zone
  90. P2 06:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
  91. P2 05:56
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Oscar Fisker Molgaard in neutral zone
  92. P2 04:44
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by teammate
  93. P2 04:39
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Ryker Evans
  94. P2 04:11
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
  95. P2 04:04
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  96. P2 03:52
    SHOT
    Adam Larsson shot blocked by Ryan McDonagh
  97. P2 03:35
    Matty Beniers won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
  98. P2 03:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaapo Kakko
  99. P2 02:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Oscar Fisker Molgaard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  100. P2 02:16
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in offensive zone
  101. P2 00:38
    SHOT
    Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Adam Larsson
  102. P2 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  103. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  104. P1 19:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Philipp Grubauer
  105. P1 19:52
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in neutral zone
  106. P1 19:52
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  107. P1 19:36
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Freddy Gaudreau in offensive zone
  108. P1 19:29
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  109. P1 19:29
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 18:54
    Nick Paul credited with hit on Eeli Tolvanen in offensive zone
  111. P1 18:12
    Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  112. P1 17:41
    Adam Larsson credited with hit on Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  113. P1 17:29
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in defensive zone
  114. P1 17:01
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in neutral zone
  115. P1 15:18
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  116. P1 15:05
    Power play - Oscar Fisker Molgaard won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
  117. P1 15:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  118. P1 14:25
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Shane Wright in defensive zone
  119. P1 14:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  120. P1 13:54
    Shorthanded - Erik Cernak credited with hit on Chandler Stephenson in defensive zone
  121. P1 13:08
    Power play - Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  122. P1 12:45
    Freddy Gaudreau won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  123. P1 11:46
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Matty Beniers in offensive zone
  124. P1 11:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  125. P1 10:32
    Freddy Gaudreau credited with hit on Charle-Edouard D'Astous in offensive zone
  126. P1 10:25
    Kraken won faceoff against Lightning in neutral zone
  127. P1 09:21
    Oscar Fisker Molgaard credited with hit on Gage Goncalves in offensive zone
  128. P1 08:06
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in defensive zone
  129. P1 08:06
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  130. P1 07:59
    Stoppage
  131. P1 07:42
    Chandler Stephenson won faceoff against Yanni Gourde in neutral zone
  132. P1 07:42
    Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
  133. P1 04:17
    Matty Beniers credited with hit on Emil Lilleberg in neutral zone
  134. P1 03:05
    Shane Wright won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  135. P1 03:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P1 02:23
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
  137. P1 02:11
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ben Meyers in offensive zone
  138. P1 01:40
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Matty Beniers in neutral zone
  139. P1 01:40
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  140. P1 00:00
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Chandler Stephenson in neutral zone
  141. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Kraken
STATS
Lightning
19Shots on Goal33
39% Faceoff Win % 61%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
13Penalty Infraction Mins13
20Hits19
27 Shots Blocked 10
11Giveaways17
KrakenSEA
LightningTB
19Shots on Goal33
39% Faceoff Win % 61%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/1
13Penalty Infraction Mins13
20Hits19
27 Shots Blocked 10
11Giveaways17

Kraken vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Kraken vs. Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Kraken 29¢, Lightning 72¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Kraken: 31%
  • Lightning: 69%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kraken a win probability of 31%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Kraken in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Kraken vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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