Stars vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Stars vs. Islanders NHL game on March 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
2
Mar 26, 11PM UBS Arena
Mar 26, 11PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Islanders | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Stars | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Islanders | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P3 19:58 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Heineman
P3 19:28 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 19:14 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 19:07 Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P3 18:58 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 18:30 Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
P3 17:28 Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 17:25 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
P3 15:41 Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
P3 15:22 Shot missed by Jamie Benn
P3 15:13 Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
P3 13:54 Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 13:37 Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 11:06 Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:04 Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 09:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 09:14 Thomas Harley shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
P3 08:55 Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 08:08 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jake Oettinger
P3 07:30 Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Benn
Stars won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Mavrik Bourque in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Benn
SHOT
Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Ondrej Palat
Jamie Benn won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Jake Oettinger
Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Ilya Sorokin
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
Nils Lundkvist credited with hit on Kyle MacLean in defensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Mavrik Bourque
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Hryckowian saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Oskar Back saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
SHOT
Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Oskar Back
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
Penalty to Thomas Harley 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
SHOT
Adam Erne shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
Takeaway by Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Jake Oettinger
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Thomas Harley
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Jake Oettinger
Stars won faceoff against Islanders in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mavrik Bourque
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
Penalty to Wyatt Johnston 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Simon Holmstrom)
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by Lian Bichsel
Tyler Myers credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lian Bichsel saved by Ilya Sorokin
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Adam Erne credited with hit on Adam Boqvist in offensive zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Justin Hryckowian in neutral zone
Justin Hryckowian won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in neutral zone
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mavrik Bourque saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Jamie Benn
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Stars won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
SHOT
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jake Oettinger
Wyatt Johnston credited with hit on Carson Soucy in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jake Oettinger
SHOT
Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sam Steel saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jake Oettinger
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Arttu Hyry in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Steel
Matt Duchene won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Jake Oettinger
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
SHOT
Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Marc Gatcomb
Giveaway by Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 25 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/0 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 21 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 15 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Stars vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Stars vs. Islanders
- Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Stars favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Stars -113, Islanders +108
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Stars: 54%
- Islanders: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Stars a win probability of 54%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Stars vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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