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Flyers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Capitals NHL game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Flyers
1
3
Feb 26, 12AM Capital One Arena
Capitals
Feb 26, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 0 1 1
Capitals
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
FlyersPHI
Win %
0%
100%
CapitalsWSH
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 0 1 1
Capitals
0 1 2 3
P3 18:59 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 17:12 Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 16:19 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:57 Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 15:56 Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
P3 15:06 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Owen Tippett
P3 14:36 Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:32 Cam York shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 12:18 Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 11:02 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 07:53 Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
P3 05:23 Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 05:21 Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:10 Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 02:27 Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:49 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:40 Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
P3 00:52 Shot on goal by Flyers saved by Logan Thompson
P2 19:51 Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Logan Thompson
P2 19:38 Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Ethen Frank
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:34
Power play - Noah Cates won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
P3 19:11
Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 18:59
SHOT
Connor McMichael shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 18:33
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P3 18:33
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:24
Matt Roy credited with hit on Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P3 17:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 16:34
Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
P3 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
P3 16:02
Jamie Drysdale credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
P3 15:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 15:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
P3 15:53
Flyers won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P3 15:06
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Owen Tippett
P3 15:04
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 14:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:32
SHOT
Cam York shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 14:24
Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 14:08
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
P3 12:18
SHOT
Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 11:25
Giveaway by Denver Barkey in offensive zone
P3 11:14
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P3 11:14
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 11:02
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 09:37
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
P3 08:34
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
P3 08:31
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P3 08:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
P3 07:36
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
P3 06:01
Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in neutral zone
P3 05:25
Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P3 05:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 05:21
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:46
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P3 03:12
Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P3 03:12
Stoppage
P3 03:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 02:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:13
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
P3 01:13
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Flyers saved by Logan Thompson
P3 00:29
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
P3 00:00
Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Logan Thompson
P2 19:38
SHOT
Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Ethen Frank
P2 19:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Logan Thompson
P2 18:42
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
P2 18:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bobby Brink saved by Logan Thompson
P2 18:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby Brink
P2 17:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Dan Vladar
P2 16:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Seeler
P2 15:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dan Vladar
P2 14:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Nic Dowd
P2 13:52
Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
P2 13:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P2 12:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P2 12:43
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
P2 12:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:54
Garnet Hathaway won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
P2 11:54
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 11:22
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P2 11:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
P2 10:14
SHOT
Shot missed by Owen Tippett
P2 10:06
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P2 10:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Dan Vladar
P2 10:02
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
P2 09:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
P2 09:35
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Sean Couturier
P2 08:40
SHOT
Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P2 08:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Logan Thompson
P2 08:32
Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Travis Sanheim in defensive zone
P2 07:26
Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
P2 07:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Flyers
P2 07:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 06:03
Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Cam York in offensive zone
P2 05:59
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
P2 05:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 05:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Dan Vladar
P2 05:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Dan Vladar
P2 04:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Cam York
P2 03:34
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
P2 03:19
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in defensive zone
P2 03:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Logan Thompson
P2 03:10
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in offensive zone
P2 02:50
SHOT
Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P2 02:43
SHOT
Nic Dowd shot blocked by Nick Seeler
P2 02:00
SHOT
Declan Chisholm shot blocked by Sean Couturier
P2 01:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
P2 01:40
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
P2 01:40
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:00
Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:50
Sean Couturier won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 19:22
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
P1 19:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
P1 18:46
Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in neutral zone
P1 16:47
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 16:47
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 15:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
P1 15:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
P1 14:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dan Vladar
P1 14:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dan Vladar
P1 14:20
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 13:23
Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
P1 13:23
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P1 12:45
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by teammate
P1 12:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Dan Vladar
P1 10:24
SHOT
Power play - Jamie Drysdale shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 09:43
Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 09:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Cates saved by Logan Thompson
P1 09:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 08:55
SHOT
Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Dylan Strome
P1 08:01
SHOT
Nick Seeler shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
P1 07:29
SHOT
Travis Konecny shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
P1 06:07
Noah Cates won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
P1 05:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
P1 04:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P1 03:34
Bobby Brink credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
P1 03:13
Takeaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
P1 02:36
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 02:36
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 01:21
Connor McMichael credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
P1 01:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P1 01:04
Giveaway by Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
P1 01:00
Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
P1 00:48
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 00:47
SHOT
Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
P1 00:16
SHOT
Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
P1 00:00
Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Capitals
24Shots on Goal29
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits25
19Shots Blocked14
13Giveaways16
FlyersPHI
CapitalsWSH
24Shots on Goal29
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits25
19Shots Blocked14
13Giveaways16

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Flyers vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Capitals
  • Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +128, Capitals -142

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 42%
  • Capitals: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 42%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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