Flyers vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Flyers vs. Capitals NHL game on February 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NHL
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NHL sport icon
NHL
Flyers
1
3
Capital One Arena
Capitals
Capital One Arena
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 0 1 1
Capitals
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Flyers
    0%
  • Capitals
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Flyers
0 0 1 1
Capitals
0 1 2 3
P3 18:59 Connor McMichael shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
P3 17:12 Shot missed by Travis Konecny
P3 16:19 Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
P3 15:57 Shot missed by Connor McMichael
P3 15:56 Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
P3 15:06 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Owen Tippett
P3 14:36 Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Logan Thompson
P3 14:32 Cam York shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 12:18 Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
P3 11:02 Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
P3 07:53 Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
P3 05:23 Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
P3 05:21 Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
P3 03:10 Shot missed by Matt Roy
P3 02:27 Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:49 Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dan Vladar
P3 01:40 Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
P3 00:52 Shot on goal by Flyers saved by Logan Thompson
P2 19:51 Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Logan Thompson
P2 19:38 Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Ethen Frank
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:34
    Power play - Noah Cates won faceoff against Connor McMichael in neutral zone
  3. P3 19:11
    Shorthanded - Anthony Beauvillier won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  4. P3 18:59
    SHOT
    Connor McMichael shot blocked by Jamie Drysdale
  5. P3 18:33
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  6. P3 18:33
    Stoppage - Icing
  7. P3 17:24
    Matt Roy credited with hit on Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  8. P3 17:12
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Travis Konecny
  9. P3 16:34
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
  10. P3 16:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
  11. P3 16:02
    Jamie Drysdale credited with hit on Ryan Leonard in defensive zone
  12. P3 15:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Connor McMichael
  13. P3 15:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
  14. P3 15:53
    Flyers won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  15. P3 15:06
    SHOT
    Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Owen Tippett
  16. P3 15:04
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  17. P3 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cam York saved by Logan Thompson
  18. P3 14:32
    SHOT
    Cam York shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
  19. P3 14:24
    Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  20. P3 14:08
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
  21. P3 12:18
    SHOT
    Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Pierre-Luc Dubois
  22. P3 11:25
    Giveaway by Denver Barkey in offensive zone
  23. P3 11:14
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  24. P3 11:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  25. P3 11:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  26. P3 09:37
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Noah Cates in defensive zone
  27. P3 08:34
    Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
  28. P3 08:31
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  29. P3 08:31
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  30. P3 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
  31. P3 07:36
    Nic Dowd won faceoff against Sean Couturier in neutral zone
  32. P3 06:01
    Takeaway by Jakob Chychrun in neutral zone
  33. P3 05:25
    Shorthanded - Sean Couturier won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  34. P3 05:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  35. P3 05:21
    SHOT
    Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
  36. P3 03:46
    Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  37. P3 03:12
    Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  38. P3 03:12
    Stoppage
  39. P3 03:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Roy
  40. P3 02:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Hendrix Lapierre saved by Dan Vladar
  41. P3 01:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dan Vladar
  42. P3 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
  43. P3 01:13
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
  44. P3 01:13
    Stoppage - Offside
  45. P3 00:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Flyers saved by Logan Thompson
  46. P3 00:29
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in neutral zone
  47. P3 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  48. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  49. P2 19:51
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sean Couturier saved by Logan Thompson
  50. P2 19:38
    SHOT
    Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Ethen Frank
  51. P2 19:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Christian Dvorak saved by Logan Thompson
  52. P2 18:42
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in defensive zone
  53. P2 18:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bobby Brink saved by Logan Thompson
  54. P2 18:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bobby Brink
  55. P2 17:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Dan Vladar
  56. P2 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Seeler
  57. P2 15:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Dan Vladar
  58. P2 14:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nic Dowd
  59. P2 13:52
    Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
  60. P2 13:17
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  61. P2 12:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
  62. P2 12:43
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
  63. P2 12:43
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  64. P2 11:54
    Garnet Hathaway won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
  65. P2 11:54
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  66. P2 11:22
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  67. P2 11:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Dan Vladar
  68. P2 10:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Owen Tippett
  69. P2 10:06
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  70. P2 10:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pierre-Luc Dubois saved by Dan Vladar
  71. P2 10:02
    SHOT
    Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Rasmus Ristolainen
  72. P2 09:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Martin Fehervary
  73. P2 09:35
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Sean Couturier
  74. P2 08:40
    SHOT
    Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
  75. P2 08:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Trevor Zegras saved by Logan Thompson
  76. P2 08:32
    Anthony Beauvillier credited with hit on Travis Sanheim in defensive zone
  77. P2 07:26
    Flyers won faceoff against Capitals in offensive zone
  78. P2 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Flyers
  79. P2 07:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  80. P2 06:03
    Brandon Duhaime credited with hit on Cam York in offensive zone
  81. P2 05:59
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
  82. P2 05:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  83. P2 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Dan Vladar
  84. P2 05:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Dan Vladar
  85. P2 04:33
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cam York
  86. P2 03:34
    Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Anthony Beauvillier in offensive zone
  87. P2 03:19
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in defensive zone
  88. P2 03:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Carl Grundstrom saved by Logan Thompson
  89. P2 03:10
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Carl Grundstrom in offensive zone
  90. P2 02:50
    SHOT
    Trevor van Riemsdyk shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  91. P2 02:43
    SHOT
    Nic Dowd shot blocked by Nick Seeler
  92. P2 02:00
    SHOT
    Declan Chisholm shot blocked by Sean Couturier
  93. P2 01:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
  94. P2 01:40
    Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Sean Couturier in offensive zone
  95. P2 01:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  96. P2 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
  97. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  98. P1 19:50
    Sean Couturier won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  99. P1 19:22
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
  100. P1 19:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jamie Drysdale saved by Logan Thompson
  101. P1 18:46
    Giveaway by Martin Fehervary in neutral zone
  102. P1 16:47
    Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  103. P1 16:47
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  104. P1 15:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
  105. P1 15:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Owen Tippett saved by Logan Thompson
  106. P1 14:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dan Vladar
  107. P1 14:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Dan Vladar
  108. P1 14:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  109. P1 13:23
    Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
  110. P1 13:23
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  111. P1 12:45
    SHOT
    Martin Fehervary shot blocked by teammate
  112. P1 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Dan Vladar
  113. P1 10:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Jamie Drysdale shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  114. P1 09:43
    Power play - Christian Dvorak won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  115. P1 09:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Cates saved by Logan Thompson
  116. P1 09:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  117. P1 08:55
    SHOT
    Travis Sanheim shot blocked by Dylan Strome
  118. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Nick Seeler shot blocked by Ryan Leonard
  119. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Travis Konecny shot blocked by Anthony Beauvillier
  120. P1 06:07
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
  121. P1 05:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ethen Frank saved by Dan Vladar
  122. P1 04:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Anthony Beauvillier
  123. P1 03:34
    Bobby Brink credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
  124. P1 03:13
    Takeaway by Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
  125. P1 02:36
    Dylan Strome won faceoff against Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  126. P1 02:36
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  127. P1 01:21
    Connor McMichael credited with hit on Jamie Drysdale in offensive zone
  128. P1 01:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
  129. P1 01:04
    Giveaway by Christian Dvorak in offensive zone
  130. P1 01:00
    Jakob Chychrun credited with hit on Trevor Zegras in defensive zone
  131. P1 00:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  132. P1 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matvei Michkov
  133. P1 00:16
    SHOT
    Matvei Michkov shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
  134. P1 00:00
    Noah Cates won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stats
Flyers
STATS
Capitals
24Shots on Goal29
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits25
19 Shots Blocked 14
13Giveaways16
FlyersPHI
CapitalsWSH
24Shots on Goal29
48% Faceoff Win % 52%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins4
26Hits25
19 Shots Blocked 14
13Giveaways16

Flyers vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Flyers vs. Capitals
  • Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Capitals favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Flyers +128, Capitals -142

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Flyers: 42%
  • Capitals: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Flyers a win probability of 42%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Capitals are more likely to beat the Flyers in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Flyers vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.