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Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Golden Knights
6
3
Jan 24, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Jan 24, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
2 2 2 6
Maple Leafs
0 3 0 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Golden KnightsVGK
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Golden Knights
2 2 2 6
Maple Leafs
0 3 0 3
P3 18:39 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Adin Hill
P3 17:00 Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:51 Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:34 Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:30 Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:41 Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 14:29 Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 14:09 Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:27 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:51 Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 11:05 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 10:10 Shot on goal by Alexander Holtz saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:56 Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 07:58 Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 07:36 Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 05:42 Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 02:57 Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:19 Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 01:07 Max Domi shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 00:08 Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:01
Reilly Smith won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
P3 18:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Adin Hill
P3 18:32
Jack Eichel won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 17:32
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P3 17:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Stone saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:35
Jack Eichel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 16:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 16:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 16:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Keegan Kolesar saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 15:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Lorentz
P3 15:11
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P3 14:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
P3 14:09
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by teammate
P3 12:37
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P3 12:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 11:51
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P3 11:05
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 10:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Holtz saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 09:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pavel Dorofeyev saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 08:42
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 08:38
Golden Knights won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P3 08:38
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 07:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 07:58
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P3 07:36
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P3 06:51
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 05:42
SHOT
Pavel Dorofeyev shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 04:48
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in defensive zone
P3 04:48
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:08
Giveaway by Anthony Stolarz in defensive zone
P3 03:51
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P3 03:01
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:59
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 02:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 02:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 02:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P3 01:33
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
P3 01:07
SHOT
Max Domi shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P3 00:33
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P3 00:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P3 00:00
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 18:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Matias Maccelli
P2 18:46
John Tavares won faceoff against Reilly Smith in defensive zone
P2 18:30
Giveaway by Rasmus Andersson in neutral zone
P2 18:19
John Tavares won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
P2 17:54
Tanner Laczynski won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 17:54
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 17:00
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
P2 16:44
Jack Eichel won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P2 16:44
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 15:26
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P2 14:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Adin Hill
P2 14:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 14:10
Golden Knights won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
P2 14:10
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 13:55
SHOT
Troy Stecher shot blocked by teammate
P2 12:35
Giveaway by Shea Theodore in defensive zone
P2 12:16
Giveaway by Ben Hutton in defensive zone
P2 11:36
SHOT
Steven Lorentz shot blocked by Kaedan Korczak
P2 10:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Adin Hill
P2 10:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Scott Laughton assisted by Matthew Knies
4-2
P2 08:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Tanner Laczynski
P2 08:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Laczynski saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 06:57
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Jeremy Lauzon
P2 06:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Adin Hill
P2 05:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Oliver Ekman-Larsson saved by Adin Hill
P2 05:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 05:29
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 05:16
GOAL
Goal scored by Braeden Bowman assisted by Tanner Laczynski and Alexander Holtz
4-1
P2 05:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Braeden Bowman saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 04:50
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 03:32
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Eichel in neutral zone
P2 03:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Dorofeyev
P2 03:04
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 02:42
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:08
Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
P2 01:55
SHOT
Ben Hutton shot blocked by Easton Cowan
P2 00:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 00:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Eichel saved by Anthony Stolarz
P2 00:13
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares
2-1
P2 00:00
John Tavares won faceoff against Tomas Hertl in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:52
Stoppage - Icing
P1 19:37
SHOT
Shot missed by Golden Knights
P1 18:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Tomas Hertl
P1 18:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Adin Hill
P1 18:05
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 16:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Adin Hill
P1 15:53
SHOT
Kaedan Korczak shot blocked by teammate
P1 14:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 14:14
Jack Eichel won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 13:55
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Jack Eichel in offensive zone
P1 13:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 13:35
Giveaway by Matias Maccelli in offensive zone
P1 12:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Benoit
P1 12:04
Giveaway by Alexander Holtz in offensive zone
P1 11:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Holtz
P1 11:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Braeden Bowman
P1 10:52
SHOT
Shot missed by Bobby McMann
P1 09:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Andersson saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 09:07
Scott Laughton credited with hit on Noah Hanifin in neutral zone
P1 08:05
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mark Stone
P1 07:16
Power play - Tomas Hertl won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
P1 07:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tomas Hertl saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 06:53
Steven Lorentz won faceoff against Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P1 06:42
Oliver Ekman-Larsson credited with hit on Jack Eichel in defensive zone
P1 06:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Adin Hill
P1 06:10
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Shea Theodore
P1 05:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:25
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Adin Hill
P1 04:31
Tanner Laczynski won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
P1 04:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Keegan Kolesar assisted by Jonas Rondbjerg
2-0
P1 04:14
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
P1 04:14
Stoppage - Offside
P1 04:07
Nicholas Robertson won faceoff against Reilly Smith in neutral zone
P1 02:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Adin Hill
P1 02:07
Scott Laughton won faceoff against Tanner Laczynski in defensive zone
P1 02:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tanner Laczynski saved by Anthony Stolarz
P1 01:15
Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Reilly Smith in offensive zone
P1 01:12
Simon Benoit credited with hit on Keegan Kolesar in neutral zone
P1 01:06
GOAL
Goal scored by Jack Eichel assisted by Mark Stone and Ivan Barbashev
1-0
P1 00:58
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Tomas Hertl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stats
Golden Knights
STATS
Maple Leafs
31Shots on Goal21
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
11Hits21
15Shots Blocked8
18Giveaways15
Golden KnightsVGK
Maple LeafsTOR
31Shots on Goal21
42% Faceoff Win % 58%
1/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 1/0
2Penalty Infraction Mins2
11Hits21
15Shots Blocked8
18Giveaways15

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Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Golden Knights favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Golden Knights -118, Maple Leafs +102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Golden Knights: 51%
  • Maple Leafs: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Golden Knights a win probability of 51%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Golden Knights are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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