Lightning vs. Blackhawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Blackhawks NHL game on January 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Lightning
2
1
United Center
Blackhawks
United Center
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 1 0 0 2
Blackhawks
1 0 0 0 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Lightning
    100%
  • Blackhawks
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Lightning
0 1 0 0 2
Blackhawks
1 0 0 0 1
OT1 04:15 Shot on goal by Andre Burakovsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 03:39 Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Arvid Soderblom
OT1 02:52 Shot on goal by Wyatt Kaiser saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 02:35 Shot on goal by Nick Lardis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 02:22 Shot on goal by Nick Lardis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
OT1 02:22 Shot missed by Nick Lardis
OT1 01:45 Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
P3 19:15 Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Arvid Soderblom
P3 19:06 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Arvid Soderblom
P3 18:09 Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:33 J.J. Moser shot blocked by Connor Murphy
P3 16:22 Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:58 Shot missed by Alex Vlasic
P3 13:06 Connor Murphy shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
P3 12:21 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arvid Soderblom
P3 09:54 Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:15 Jason Dickinson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
P3 09:00 Shot on goal by Louis Crevier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:39 Shot missed by Ryan Donato
P3 08:19 Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout attempt by Gage Goncalves saved by Arvid Soderblom
  3. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Gage Goncalves on Arvid Soderblom
  4. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov on Arvid Soderblom
  5. SO
    Shootout attempt by Connor Bedard saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  6. SO
    Shootout attempt by Charle-Edouard D'Astous saved by Arvid Soderblom
  7. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  8. OT1 04:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andre Burakovsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  9. OT1 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gage Goncalves saved by Arvid Soderblom
  10. OT1 02:52
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Wyatt Kaiser saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  11. OT1 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Lardis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  12. OT1 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Lardis saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  13. OT1 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Lardis
  14. OT1 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
  15. OT1 00:00
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  16. P3 19:23
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  17. P3 19:17
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  18. P3 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Arvid Soderblom
  19. P3 19:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Arvid Soderblom
  20. P3 18:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Frank Nazar saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  21. P3 18:08
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  22. P3 17:34
    Giveaway by Connor Bedard in neutral zone
  23. P3 16:33
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  24. P3 16:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  25. P3 15:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Vlasic
  26. P3 15:57
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Nick Paul in offensive zone
  27. P3 15:57
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  28. P3 13:06
    SHOT
    Connor Murphy shot blocked by Gage Goncalves
  29. P3 12:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arvid Soderblom
  30. P3 10:58
    Giveaway by Connor Bedard in offensive zone
  31. P3 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  32. P3 09:25
    Erik Cernak credited with hit on Jason Dickinson in defensive zone
  33. P3 09:15
    SHOT
    Jason Dickinson shot blocked by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  34. P3 09:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Louis Crevier saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  35. P3 08:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Donato
  36. P3 08:19
    SHOT
    Charle-Edouard D'Astous shot blocked by Tyler Bertuzzi
  37. P3 08:17
    Dominic James won faceoff against Frank Nazar in offensive zone
  38. P3 08:17
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  39. P3 06:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  40. P3 05:56
    Power play - Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Ryan Greene in offensive zone
  41. P3 05:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jake Guentzel
  42. P3 05:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Arvid Soderblom
  43. P3 04:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Arvid Soderblom
  44. P3 04:21
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  45. P3 04:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  46. P3 03:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Arvid Soderblom
  47. P3 03:26
    Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
  48. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 02:49
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  50. P3 01:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Vlasic
  51. P3 01:11
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Charle-Edouard D'Astous
  52. P3 00:12
    SHOT
    J.J. Moser shot blocked by teammate
  53. P3 00:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dominic James saved by Arvid Soderblom
  54. P3 00:00
    Dominic James won faceoff against Frank Nazar in neutral zone
  55. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  56. P2 19:30
    Yanni Gourde won faceoff against Oliver Moore in neutral zone
  57. P2 18:42
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in neutral zone
  58. P2 18:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Arvid Soderblom
  59. P2 17:58
    Connor Bedard credited with hit on Yanni Gourde in offensive zone
  60. P2 17:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Pontus Holmberg saved by Arvid Soderblom
  61. P2 16:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  62. P2 16:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Arvid Soderblom
  63. P2 16:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Arvid Soderblom
  64. P2 15:49
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in defensive zone
  65. P2 15:43
    SHOT
    Louis Crevier shot blocked by Declan Carlile
  66. P2 15:33
    Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
  67. P2 14:55
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  68. P2 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Frank Nazar
  69. P2 14:38
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Andre Burakovsky saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  70. P2 14:02
    SHOT
    Artyom Levshunov shot blocked by Nick Paul
  71. P2 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zemgus Girgensons saved by Arvid Soderblom
  72. P2 12:18
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Landon Slaggert
  73. P2 10:27
    Oliver Moore won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  74. P2 10:09
    Dominic James won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  75. P2 10:09
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  76. P2 09:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matt Grzelcyk
  77. P2 08:37
    Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
  78. P2 08:23
    Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Louis Crevier in neutral zone
  79. P2 07:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
  80. P2 06:48
    Shorthanded - Jason Dickinson won faceoff against Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
  81. P2 06:48
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  82. P2 06:11
    Penalty to Artyom Levshunov 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Zemgus Girgensons)
  83. P2 05:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artyom Levshunov
  84. P2 05:14
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Erik Cernak
  85. P2 05:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  86. P2 04:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Max Crozier saved by Arvid Soderblom
  87. P2 04:32
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan Greene in offensive zone
  88. P2 04:24
    SHOT
    Max Crozier shot blocked by Ryan Greene
  89. P2 03:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Arvid Soderblom
  90. P2 03:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.J. Moser
  91. P2 02:42
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Jason Dickinson in offensive zone
  92. P2 02:39
    SHOT
    Nick Paul shot blocked by Landon Slaggert
  93. P2 01:52
    Lightning won faceoff against Blackhawks in neutral zone
  94. P2 01:30
    Ryan Greene won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
  95. P2 01:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Arvid Soderblom
  96. P2 00:46
    Giveaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
  97. P2 00:10
    Takeaway by J.J. Moser in neutral zone
  98. P2 00:00
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
  99. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  100. P1 19:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  101. P1 19:44
    Max Crozier credited with hit on Jason Dickinson in defensive zone
  102. P1 18:09
    Power play - Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
  103. P1 17:42
    Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in neutral zone
  104. P1 17:42
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Ryan Greene assisted by Nick Lardis and Oliver Moore
    0-1
  105. P1 16:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Connor Bedard
  106. P1 15:36
    Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Frank Nazar in defensive zone
  107. P1 15:36
    Penalty to Darren Raddysh 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Tyler Bertuzzi)
  108. P1 15:32
    SHOT
    Connor Bedard shot blocked by J.J. Moser
  109. P1 15:07
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by Louis Crevier
  110. P1 14:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Declan Carlile
  111. P1 14:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  112. P1 14:27
    SHOT
    Declan Carlile shot blocked by teammate
  113. P1 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Vlasic saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
  114. P1 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Arvid Soderblom
  115. P1 12:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dominic James
  116. P1 12:39
    Lightning won faceoff against Blackhawks in neutral zone
  117. P1 12:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  118. P1 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Arvid Soderblom
  119. P1 10:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
  120. P1 10:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Yanni Gourde saved by Arvid Soderblom
  121. P1 09:17
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Gage Goncalves
  122. P1 08:48
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Oliver Bjorkstrand saved by Arvid Soderblom
  123. P1 08:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Oliver Bjorkstrand
  124. P1 07:29
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
  125. P1 07:25
    Jake Guentzel won faceoff against Blackhawks in offensive zone
  126. P1 07:25
    Lightning won faceoff against Blackhawks in neutral zone
  127. P1 06:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Crozier
  128. P1 05:50
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Arvid Soderblom
  129. P1 05:48
    Lightning won faceoff against Blackhawks in neutral zone
  130. P1 04:02
    Power play - Giveaway by Connor Bedard in offensive zone
  131. P1 03:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Artyom Levshunov shot blocked by teammate
  132. P1 03:23
    Penalty to Jack Finley 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Nick Foligno)
  133. P1 03:23
    Penalty to Jack Finley 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Served by Gage Goncalves)
  134. P1 02:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Arvid Soderblom
  135. P1 01:13
    SHOT
    Yanni Gourde shot blocked by Connor Murphy
  136. P1 00:00
    Frank Nazar won faceoff against Dominic James in neutral zone
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Blackhawks
31Shots on Goal18
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
18Hits16
10 Shots Blocked 13
16Giveaways20
LightningTB
BlackhawksCHI
31Shots on Goal18
53% Faceoff Win % 47%
3/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
11Penalty Infraction Mins11
18Hits16
10 Shots Blocked 13
16Giveaways20

Lightning vs. Blackhawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Blackhawks
  • Date: Friday, January 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: United Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -295, Blackhawks +250

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 68%
  • Blackhawks: 32%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 68%, while the Blackhawks have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blackhawks in the NHL game at United Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Blackhawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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