Bills vs. Texans Preview and Prediction

Our Bills vs. Texans preview, analysis and predictions for September 13, 2026, are based on 10,000 NFL game simulations. See Dimers Pro for unlimited access.
NFL
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NFL
Bills
Predicted score
24
:
22
Reliant Stadium
Texans
Reliant Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Bills -1.5
Spread
  • Bills
    51.4%
    KalshiKalshi
  • Texans
    48.6%
    FanDuelFanDuel
Player Props
Bills
Probability
  • James Cook
    49.3%
  • Josh Allen
    40.5%
  • DJ Moore
    26.6%
  • Dalton Kincaid
  • Khalil Shakir
Texans
Probability
  • David Montgomery
    49.5%
  • Nico Collins
    35.4%
  • Woody Marks
    28.0%
  • Kayshon Boutte
  • Dalton Schultz
Projected Player Stats
Bills Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
J. Allen
Texans Starting QB
PlayerProj. Yards
C. Stroud
Bills Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
J. Cook
J. Allen
R. Davis
Texans Rushing
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
D. Montgomery
W. Marks
C. Stroud
Bills Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
D. Moore
K. Shakir
D. Kincaid
D. Knox
J. Cook
Texans Receiving
PlayerTouchdown %TD%Proj. Yards
N. Collins
D. Schultz
K. Boutte
X. Hutchinson
J. Noel

Bills vs. Texans: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Bills favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Bills 50¢, Texans 51¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Bills: 58%
  • Texans: 42%

Dimers' predictive NFL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Bills 24-22 Texans.

This prediction is based on each team's average score and player stats following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bills a win probability of 58%, while the Texans have a win probability of 42%.

Summary

The Bills face off against the Texans in the NFL at Reliant Stadium on Sunday, September 13, 2026. On this page, you'll find our preview, analysis and data-driven projections for the game.

Our Bills vs. Texans predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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