Five NFL players who could score multiple touchdowns in Week 7

Betting on touchdowns is one of the most fun ways to bet on NFL player props, from longshot TD straights to an all-day touchdown parlay.

We had a good bit of fun in Weeks 4 and 5 betting on players who were due for the first touchdown, correctly picking 2 of 3 each week on players like Jameson Williams, Rhamondre Stevenson and Tetairoa McMillan. In Week 5, both guys scored twice.

That's where we've decided to look for the Week 7 slate.

Every week, Dimers simulates every NFL game to identify each player’s chance to find the end zone, and with Dimers NFL Player Projections, you can sort them by probability, position or even multi-touchdown probability.

Below are five players whose projections, matchups and usage all align for a chance at scoring not once, but twice in Week 7.

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

2+ TD odds: +160 on FanDuel

No one on the Week 7 board has a better chance of scoring twice than Jahmyr Gibbs in Lions vs. Packers.

His 36.2% probability of finding the end zone multiple times leads every player in our model, and he’s the only player above 70% to score at all.

Jahmy Gibbs and Puka Nacua in our NFL Player Projections.

That’s no surprise given his start to the season. Through five games, Gibbs has seven rushing touchdowns and two more through the air, and he’s had a bye week to rest up for this one. Green Bay has struggled to stop the run, giving up nine rushing touchdowns, the second most in the NFL, and 127.6 rushing yards per game.

This divisional matchup at Ford Field opened with one of the highest totals of the week at 51.5, and the Lions are home favorites. Few setups are better for a back who scores as both a runner and a receiver.

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

2+ TD odds: +450 on FanDuel

In Steelers vs.Saints in Paris on Sunday morning, all eyes will be on the running game.

New Orleans has allowed 11 rushing touchdowns, the most in the league, and are the only team to allow double-digit rushing scores, and the issues aren’t going away.

Last week, Tyrone Tracy scored twice against the Saints, once on the ground and once through the air, for a Giants team that had just one running back touchdown all season before that.

That’s the kind of game Jaylen Warren can deliver. We picked him to score his first TD in Week 5 and he found the end zone twice then. He’s been targeted at least four times in every game this season, and Rico Dowdle’s return last week didn’t change his role much. Warren still played 73.7% of the snaps and led the Pittsburgh backfield.

The Saints allow 4.8 yards per carry to running backs, the third-worst mark in the league. Warren has a 46.4% chance to score and a 13.0% chance to score twice.

He's the clear go-to in this game for Pittsburgh, as his touchdown probability is 13% higher than any other Steeler.

Puka Nacua (Rams)

2+ TD odds: +500 on FanDuel

Puka Nacua has caught just one touchdown on 52 targets, an unusually low rate for a receiver who gets that much volume.

That kind of usage typically evens out, and this is a good spot for it to happen in Rams vs. Raiders on Sunday.

Davante Adams is out with a hamstring injury, which leaves Nacua as the unquestioned top target for Matthew Stafford. The Rams are 2-4 and need a win badly, entering this game as 4.5-point road favorites.

Las Vegas ranks 24th against the pass and has allowed 13 receiving touchdowns, and WRs Demario Douglas, Tyquan Thornton and TE Juwan Johnson have each caught two touchdowns against the Raiders this season. Nacua is a far better player than any of them.

He has the third-highest touchdown probability among receivers in our Week 7 projections and a 14.1% chance to score twice.

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

2+ TD odds: +1300 on FanDuel

Minnesota comes out of its bye at 5-0 rolling into Vikings vs. Colts. Indianapolis arrives at 2-4, still recovering from a loss to the previously winless Titans after leading 13-0 at halftime.

On yards alone, Justin Jefferson doesn’t look like a standout this week: he’s only WR10 in our yardage projections, but his touchdown numbers say otherwise.

In our first look at Week 7, Jefferson was one of just five receivers with at least a 50% chance to score, and he is the only one of the five with an edge to score twice, at 15.6%.

The Colts rank 22nd against the pass and have allowed 10 receiving touchdowns, and that’s after facing Cam Ward, two backups in the Commanders game, and a Texans passing offense that was struggling at the time.

Better quarterbacks have taken them apart: Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes each threw three touchdowns against Indianapolis, and Mahomes and Lamar Jackson both passed for more than 300 yards.

Kyler Murray is somewhere between those two tiers, but Jefferson is the best receiver on the field, and he’s the best value among this week’s top-projected receivers.

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

2+ TD odds: +1500 on FanDuel

We're going back to that first game, and another player in our Week 7 NFL Betting Guide, but on the other side in an equally appealing positional matchup.

TE Tucker Kraft has just 1 touchdown so far this season after scoring 6 in just 7 full games last year and 7 TDs the year before.

Fortunately for him, Detroit has allowed the most touchdowns to tight ends this season and is giving up 10.6 targets per game to the position.

The Lions went into their bye with the league’s worst pass defense, ranking last in total yards allowed at 404.4 per game, with the bye week being the only reason they aren't currently ranked dead last in the NFL.

Kraft’s 30.0% chance to score ranks seventh among tight ends.

That’s the lowest of these players, but as well know, it's not only the alpha dogs finding the end zone each week. He draws a 5.0% chance to score twice in a game with the highest total of Week 7 (53.5).

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