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NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 7 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Cavaliers NBA game on May 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
115
94
May 15, 11 PM Rocket Arena
May 15, 11 PM Rocket Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 27 | 27 | 28 | 33 | 115 |
Cavaliers | 25 | 26 | 19 | 24 | 94 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 27 | 27 | 28 | 33 | 115 |
Cavaliers | 25 | 26 | 19 | 24 | 94 |
Q4 00:25 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:20 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Pistons turnover
End of 4th Quarter.
Nae'Qwan Tomlin offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Nae'Qwan Tomlin misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Nae'Qwan Tomlin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-94
Pistons lineup change (Chaz Lanier, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Paul Reed, Tolu Smith)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons defensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Chaz Lanier, Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Paul Reed, Caris LeVert)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
115-93
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Ronald Holland II, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Keon Ellis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Pistons turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
112-93
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Thomas Bryant, Nae'Qwan Tomlin, Craig Porter Jr., Keon Ellis)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
112-91
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
109-91
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
107-91
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-90
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-91
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins)
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
104-89
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
104-86
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-86
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins)
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
102-85
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
100-85
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Dean Wade offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
98-85
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
96-85
Cavaliers personal foul
Stoppage (Other)
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-82
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-82
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Dean Wade)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
94-82
Pistons personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
94-80
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus, Dean Wade)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
92-80
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
92-77
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
90-77
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
90-75
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-74
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-75
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
87-73
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
87-70
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
84-70
End of 3rd Quarter.
Instant replay
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
82-70
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
80-70
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
80-68
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
78-68
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Caris LeVert defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Paul Reed misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-68
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
74-68
Sam Merrill defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
74-66
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
74-63
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-62
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-63
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
70-61
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-61
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
68-61
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Paul Reed turnover (lost ball)
Paul Reed turnover (lost ball)
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-58
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
68-59
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
James Harden turnover (offensive foul)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus)
Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
68-57
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
68-55
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-54
+1
James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-55
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
66-53
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-53
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers personal foul
Stoppage (Blood rule)
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-52
+1
Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-52
Cavaliers turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
62-52
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
+1
Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-52
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
59-51
Jump ball. (Tobias Harris gains possession)
Evan Mobley turnover (lost ball) (Tobias Harris steals)
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
57-51
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
54-51
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
James Harden misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
54-48
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-45
+1
Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-46
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
54-44
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Cavaliers offensive rebound
Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Caris LeVert)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
52-44
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
52-42
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
49-42
Pistons turnover
Tobias Harris defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
49-39
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
49-37
Cavaliers turnover
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-37
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
45-37
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
45-34
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
43-34
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus, Dean Wade)
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
41-34
Dean Wade defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Pistons turnover
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Instant replay
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, Dean Wade)
+1
Sam Merrill makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
41-30
+1
Sam Merrill makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
41-31
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
41-29
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Pistons turnover
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
39-29
Cavaliers personal foul
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-27
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
38-27
Paul Reed offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
James Harden turnover (lost ball)
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-26
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-27
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
35-25
Cavaliers personal foul
Evan Mobley turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
33-25
Paul Reed defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
30-25
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 3
31-25
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
29-25
Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-25
+1
Daniss Jenkins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-25
End of 1st Quarter.
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Cade Cunningham, Paul Reed, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus, Dean Wade)
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley, Max Strus, Dean Wade)
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
25-25
Evan Mobley offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
22-25
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Cade Cunningham turnover (offensive foul)
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
22-23
Cavaliers turnover
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
19-23
Max Strus defensive rebound
Cavaliers turnover
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Max Strus turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Cavaliers turnover
Max Strus defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-23
Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
17-21
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers personal foul
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
Cavaliers lineup change (Sam Merrill, Dennis Schroder, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus)
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
17-18
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
17-16
Max Strus offensive rebound
Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert)
Jump ball. (Isaiah Stewart gains possession)
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
14-16
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
12-16
Pistons turnover
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, Dennis Schroder, Max Strus)
Pistons personal foul
Cavaliers 60 second timeout
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Dean Wade)
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-13
+1
Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-14
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson turnover (bad pass)
Cavaliers turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
12-12
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
10-12
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
10-9
Pistons personal foul
Stoppage (Blood rule)
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
10-6
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
8-6
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-4
Cavaliers personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
8-4
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
5-4
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Evan Mobley defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
2-4
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
2-2
Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Cavaliers turnover
James Harden defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Cavaliers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tobias Harris misses three point jump shot
Donovan Mitchell personal foul
Donovan Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)
Cavaliers lineup change (James Harden, Jarrett Allen, Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Dean Wade)
Start of 1st Quarter
Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Ausar Thompson, Daniss Jenkins)
Jalen Duren (Evan Mobley gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Pistons vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cavaliers favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 210.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +160, Cavaliers -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 39%
- Cavaliers: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 104-107 Cavaliers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 39%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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