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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Spurs NBA game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
97
126
May 12, 8:00 PM ET Frost Bank Center
May 12, 8:00 PM ET Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 30 | 17 | 26 | 24 | 97 |
Spurs | 34 | 25 | 32 | 35 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 30 | 17 | 26 | 24 | 97 |
Spurs | 34 | 25 | 32 | 35 | 126 |
Q4 00:12 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-126
Joan Beringer misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
96-126
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-123
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-123
+1
Joan Beringer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-123
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
93-123
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
93-121
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant)
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
93-118
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Jordan McLaughlin, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Joan Beringer, Jaylen Clark, Kyle Anderson, Bones Hyland, Julian Phillips)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
93-115
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-113
Julius Randle offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
93-112
Ayo Dosunmu misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-112
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-110
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Timberwolves personal foul
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
91-108
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
91-106
Spurs personal foul
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
89-106
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Naz Reid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-106
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-105
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-105
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves turnover
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle misses two point tip dunk
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
86-103
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 3
86-104
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
86-102
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
86-100
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
86-97
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
84-97
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
84-95
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
81-95
Timberwolves personal foul
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
81-93
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-93
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
77-93
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
75-93
Spurs turnover
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-93
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-90
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-91
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-89
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
73-87
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-85
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-85
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
71-85
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-83
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-83
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-83
Timberwolves turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-81
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
69-79
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-78
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-79
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-76
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-77
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-74
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
67-75
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-72
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-72
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point tip layup
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
65-72
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-72
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-70
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
63-68
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-68
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-66
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
61-64
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
61-61
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
59-61
Spurs 60 second timeout
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
57-61
Spurs personal foul
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
54-61
Ayo Dosunmu personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
54-59
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-59
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-59
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
50-59
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Rudy Gobert turnover (offensive foul)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
47-59
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-58
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-58
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes technical free throw 1 of 1
44-59
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
42-58
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-58
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Naz Reid misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-56
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-54
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-52
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Ayo Dosunmu misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
39-52
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
37-52
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-49
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-49
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-49
Timberwolves turnover
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
35-47
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs violation
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
35-45
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
33-45
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
33-43
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
30-42
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
30-43
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Ayo Dosunmu)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
30-40
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
30-37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Naz Reid, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
30-34
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-33
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-34
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
28-32
Stoppage (Other)
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-31
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-32
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
26-30
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
26-28
Spurs personal foul
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Luke Kornet personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-28
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-28
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
22-28
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
19-28
Naz Reid defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
16-28
Timberwolves personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves lineup change (Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Ayo Dosunmu)
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
16-26
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
14-26
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
14-24
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Terrence Shannon Jr., Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
11-24
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
9-24
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
9-21
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
9-19
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley, Rudy Gobert)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
9-17
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves violation
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
9-15
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
7-15
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
7-12
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
7-9
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
5-9
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
5-7
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 3
5-4
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 3 of 3
5-5
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 3
3-3
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 3
4-3
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 3 of 3
5-3
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
2-3
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
0-2
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 1
0-3
(Stephon Castle gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, Ayo Dosunmu)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +365, Spurs -365
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 18%
- Spurs: 82%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 104-115 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 18%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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