Houston vs. Salt Lake Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Salt Lake MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Houston
0
3
America First Field
Salt Lake
America First Field
Salt LakeRSL
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
D. Holmes (o.g.) (49')
Soccer ball icon
Z. Gozo (57')
Soccer ball icon
Z. Gozo (64')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Salt Lake
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Ponce replaces O. Lingr
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces Z. Gozo
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Ennali replaces D. Holmes
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: N. Caliskan replaces S. Spierings
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: Z. Booth replaces D. Marczuk
  6. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by Z. Gozo, assisted by S. Spierings
    0-3
  7. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: S. Solans replaces V. Olatunji
  8. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by Z. Gozo, assisted by D. Yedlin
    0-2
  9. 55'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Guilherme replaces N. Markanich
  10. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by D. Holmes (o.g.)
    0-1
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Antonio Carlos replaces A. Resch
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Bogusz replaces J. McGlynn
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: D. Luna replaces M. Guilavogui
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Bouzat (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

Houston vs. Salt Lake: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Salt Lake
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: America First Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +390, Salt Lake -133, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-180/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 21.3%
  • Salt Lake: 57.2%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-2 Salt Lake (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Houston vs. Salt Lake? Prediction & correct score

Salt Lake is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.2%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-2 Salt Lake.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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