Salt Lake vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Salt Lake vs. Dallas MLS match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Salt Lake
1
3
Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
Salt LakeRSL
S. Moreno (19')
Soccer ball icon
Kaick (24')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sarver (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Luna (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Salt Lake
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Sarver, assisted by S. Ibeagha
    1-3
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Sarver (FC Dallas) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Ibeagha replaces R. Binyamin
  4. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by D. Luna, assisted by M. Guilavogui
    1-2
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: D. Marczuk replaces D. Yedlin
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    D. Yedlin (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces J. Valiente
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Katranis replaces J. Sanabria
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces S. Spierings
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: C. Cappis replaces S. Moreno
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: V. Olatunji replaces S. Solans
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    D. Luna (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  14. 35'
    Yellow Card
    M. Guilavogui (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  15. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by Kaick
    0-2
  16. 23'
    Yellow Card
    O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned
  17. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Moreno, assisted by P. Musa
    0-1

Salt Lake vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Salt Lake vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Salt Lake +200, Dallas +120, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Salt Lake: 29.7%
  • Dallas: 47.2%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Salt Lake 1-1 Dallas (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Salt Lake vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.2%.

The most likely correct score is Salt Lake 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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