Salt Lake vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Salt Lake vs. Dallas MLS match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Salt Lake
1
3
May 9, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
Dallas
May 9, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
Salt LakeRSL
S. Moreno (19')
Soccer ball icon
Kaick (24')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sarver (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Luna (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Salt Lake
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Sarver, assisted by S. Ibeagha
1-3
90'
Yellow Card
S. Sarver (FC Dallas) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Ibeagha replaces R. Binyamin
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by D. Luna, assisted by M. Guilavogui
1-2
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: D. Marczuk replaces D. Yedlin
81'
Yellow Card
D. Yedlin (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces J. Valiente
75'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Katranis replaces J. Sanabria
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces S. Spierings
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: C. Cappis replaces S. Moreno
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Salt Lake: V. Olatunji replaces S. Solans
45'
Yellow Card
D. Luna (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
M. Guilavogui (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by Kaick
0-2
23'
Yellow Card
O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Moreno, assisted by P. Musa
0-1

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Salt Lake vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Salt Lake vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Salt Lake +200, Dallas +120, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-211/+160)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Salt Lake: 29.7%
  • Dallas: 47.2%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Salt Lake 1-1 Dallas (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Salt Lake vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.2%.

The most likely correct score is Salt Lake 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Salt Lake vs. Dallas, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.