Philadelphia vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. New England MLS match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
1
2
Gillette Stadium
New England
Gillette Stadium
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
L. Langoni (61')
Soccer ball icon
C. Gil (87')
Soccer ball icon
W. Sands (o.g.) (37')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New England
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: T. Beason replaces D. Turgeman
  2. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by C. Gil
    1-2
  3. 85'
    Yellow Card
    A. Anello (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Polster replaces L. Langoni
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces I. Vassilev
  7. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces G. Yow
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Damiani replaces M. Iloski
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces E. Alladoh
  10. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by L. Langoni, assisted by C. Gil
    1-1
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    I. Vassilev (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  12. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by W. Sands (o.g.)
    1-0
  13. 34'
    Yellow Card
    J. Lukic (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  14. 31'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces F. Westfield

Philadelphia vs. New England: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +180, New England +160, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 34.1%
  • New England: 39.5%
  • Draw: 26.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 New England (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Philadelphia vs. New England? Prediction & correct score

New England is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.5%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 New England.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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