Padres vs. Dodgers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Dodgers MLB game on Wednesday, September 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Padres
Robbie Ray 13-8, 3.60 ERA
5
1
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Dodgers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 14-8, 2.51 ERA
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 5 8 0
Dodgers
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Dodgers
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Freddie Freeman lines out to deep left field to Jase Bowen.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF5130001.6001.400
2 J. Bowen LF0000000.0000.000
3 M. Machado 3B4113100.2501.200
4 T. France 1B4010000.2500.500
5 J. Merrill CF4000000.0000.000
6 X. Bogaerts SS3000012.0000.250
7 J. Cronenworth 2B4000001.0000.000
8 S. Taylor DH3100011.0000.250
9 F. Fermin C10110001.0002.000
Dodgers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Betts SS4000011.0000.200
2 S. Ohtani DH4010012.2500.650
3 W. Smith C2010030.5001.300
4 F. Freeman 1B5000001.0000.000
5 T. Hernández LF4130001.7501.500
6 K. Tucker RF4020000.5001.000
7 A. Pages CF4030001.7501.750
8 M. Rojas 3B1000000.0000.000
9 T. Edman 2B3001001.0000.000

Padres vs. Dodgers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers Dodgers
  • Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
  • Time: 10:10PM ET
  • Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (+1.5, +102), Dodgers (-1.5, -103)
  • Moneyline: Padres +208, Dodgers -212
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+113/-115)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 31.9%
  • Dodgers: 68.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 31.9%, while the Dodgers have a win probability of 68.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Dodgers are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Dodgers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.