Phillies vs. Twins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Twins MLB game on Thursday, August 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Aaron Nola 3-9, 5.47 ERA
7
1
Field of Dreams
Twins
Taj Bradley 9-4, 3.76 ERA
Field of Dreams
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
2 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 7 12 0
Twins
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Twins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trevor Larnach lines out to shallow infield to Jhoan Duran. Kaelen Culpepper doubled off first.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH5223201.4002.000
2 T. Turner SS4110010.2500.900
3 D. Hill RF0000000.0000.000
4 L. Arraez 2B5030000.6001.200
5 B. Stott 3B5011000.2000.400
6 A. Bohm 1B5110002.2000.600
7 B. Marsh LF22221201.0003.500
8 J. Realmuto C4000001.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF4010001.2500.500
Twins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Larnach LF5020001.4000.800
2 B. Buxton CF4010000.2500.750
3 R. Jeffers C3020011.6671.417
4 J. Bell DH3000011.0000.250
5 R. Lewis 1B4000002.0000.000
6 K. Clemens 2B4000003.0000.000
7 L. Keaschall RF3121111.6672.750
8 B. Lee 3B4000001.0000.000
9 K. Culpepper SS4010002.2500.500

Phillies vs. Twins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
  • Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30PM ET
  • Venue: Field of Dreams

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +165), Twins (+1.5, -167)
  • Moneyline: Phillies +104, Twins -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-113/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 49.7%
  • Twins: 50.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 49.7%, while the Twins have a win probability of 50.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Twins are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Field of Dreams on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Twins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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