Cubs vs. Nationals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Nationals MLB game on Thursday, August 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Kevin Gausman 6-10, 4.29 ERA
0
7
Nationals Park
Nationals
Cade Cavalli 9-5, 3.57 ERA
Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Nationals
0 0 0 1 5 0 0 1 X 7 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    0%
  • Nationals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyrone Taylor grounds out to shallow infield, Brady House to Abimelec Ortiz.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4000003.0000.000
2 T. Taylor PH1000000.0000.000
3 J. Triantos 2B0000000.0000.000
4 A. Bregman 3B3000001.0000.000
5 I. Happ LF3000001.0000.000
6 P. Ramirez 1B3000001.0000.000
7 D. Swanson SS1000021.0000.667
8 M. Conforto DH3000002.0000.000
9 M. Amaya C3000001.0000.000
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Abrams SS4110001.2500.500
2 A. Ortiz 1B4223101.5001.750
3 D. Crews RF4121001.5001.250
4 D. Lile LF4121000.5001.000
5 B. House 3B4010001.2500.500
6 J. Vivas 2B3111011.3330.833
7 A. Chaparro DH4110001.2500.500
8 K. Ruiz C4000001.0000.000
9 A. Pinckney CF2001001.0000.000

Cubs vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
  • Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
  • Time: 4:05PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +117), Nationals (+1.5, -120)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -138, Nationals +138
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 56.6%
  • Nationals: 43.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 56.6%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 43.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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