Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
:
2
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
C. Rodriguez (37')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ebere (pen.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sandoval (29')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (50')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces R. Ledezma
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Castro replaces A. Garcia
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces C. Ebere
  4. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Silva replaces A. Palavecino
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Montano (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  6. 88'
    Yellow Card
    A. Garcia (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  7. 84'
    Yellow Card
    R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  8. 84'
    Yellow Card
    A. Palavecino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  9. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces S. Sandoval
  10. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: G. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
  11. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces J. Paradela
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces O. Campos
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces R. Marin
  14. 68'
    Yellow Card
    R. Marin (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  15. 65'
    Yellow Card
    O. Campos (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  16. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere (pen.)
    2-2
  17. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda, assisted by M. Gomez
    2-1
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces B. Gonzalez
  19. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Paradela
    1-1
  20. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval
    1-0
  21. 17'
    Yellow Card
    C. Ebere (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  22. 11'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +240, Cruz Azul +120, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 25.4%
  • Cruz Azul: 49.4%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.4%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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