Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on April 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
3
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
R. Morales (5')
Soccer ball icon
Juninho (15')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (68')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ovalle (36')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Leyva (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces R. Morales
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces Y. Barcenas
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces J. Ovalle
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces A. Medina
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Fabio Gomes replaces B. Rubio
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Adame replaces L. Merolla
  9. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by U. Antuna
    1-3
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces Juninho
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces P. Bennevendo
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Duarte replaces J. Carrillo
  13. 58'
    Yellow Card
    K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  14. 58'
    Yellow Card
    B. Rubio (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  15. 36'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Ovalle, assisted by F. Almada
    1-2
  16. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by Juninho, assisted by Nathan Silva
    0-2
  17. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales, assisted by A. Medina
    0-1

Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +1000, Pumas UNAM -360, draw +525
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 12.4%
  • Pumas UNAM: 68.1%
  • Draw: 19.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-2 Pumas UNAM (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.1%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-2 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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