Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on April 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
3
Apr 12, 2:00 PM ET
Pumas UNAM
Apr 12, 2:00 PM ET
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
R. Morales (5')
Soccer ball icon
Juninho (15')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (68')
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J. Ovalle (36')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Leyva (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces R. Morales
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces Y. Barcenas
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces J. Ovalle
74'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces A. Medina
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Fabio Gomes replaces B. Rubio
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Adame replaces L. Merolla
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by U. Antuna
1-3
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces Juninho
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces P. Bennevendo
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Duarte replaces J. Carrillo
58'
Yellow Card
K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
B. Rubio (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Ovalle, assisted by F. Almada
1-2
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by Juninho, assisted by Nathan Silva
0-2
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales, assisted by A. Medina
0-1

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Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 2:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +1000, Pumas UNAM -360, draw +525
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 12.4%
  • Pumas UNAM: 68.1%
  • Draw: 19.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-2 Pumas UNAM (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Mazatlan vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.1%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-2 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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