Mazatlan vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on April 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
2
Apr 3, 11:00 PM ET Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Apr 3, 11:00 PM ET Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
J. Ruiz (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pena (56')
Soccer ball icon
Fabio Gomes (40')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Cortez (Necaxa) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: I. Tello replaces L. Faravelli
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces J. Ruiz
87'
Yellow Card
B. Arce (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces C. Calderon
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces Fabio Gomes
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces S. Godinez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces L. Merolla
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces T. Badaloni
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Arce replaces J. Ovalle
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Pena, assisted by J. Ruiz
1-2
55'
Yellow Card
J. Diaz (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
48'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes, assisted by J. Ovalle
1-1
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Ruiz, assisted by L. Faravelli
0-1

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Mazatlan vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +450, Necaxa -175, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-163/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 19.8%
  • Necaxa: 57.4%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Mazatlan vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.4%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Mazatlan vs. Necaxa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.