Mazatlan vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on April 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
2
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
J. Ruiz (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pena (56')
Soccer ball icon
Fabio Gomes (40')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Cortez (Necaxa) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: I. Tello replaces L. Faravelli
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces J. Ruiz
  4. 87'
    Yellow Card
    B. Arce (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces C. Calderon
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces Fabio Gomes
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: G. Lopez replaces S. Godinez
  8. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces L. Merolla
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces T. Badaloni
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Arce replaces J. Ovalle
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
  12. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Pena, assisted by J. Ruiz
    1-2
  13. 55'
    Yellow Card
    J. Diaz (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  14. 48'
    Yellow Card
    L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  15. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes, assisted by J. Ovalle
    1-1
  16. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Ruiz, assisted by L. Faravelli
    0-1

Mazatlan vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +450, Necaxa -175, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-163/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 19.8%
  • Necaxa: 57.4%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Mazatlan vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.4%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Mazatlan vs. Necaxa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.