Juarez vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Puebla Liga MX match on April 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Juarez
1
:
1
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
I. Moreno (55')
Soccer ball icon
N. Diaz (82')
Red Card icon
Madson (77')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Juarez
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces I. Moreno
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces A. Organista
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces E. Gomez
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Red Card
    N. Diaz (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by Madson, assisted by F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
    1-1
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: E. Ayon replaces O. Estupinan
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin replaces J. Aquino
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Madson replaces D. Garcia
  10. 66'
    Yellow Card
    F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces A. Canelo
  12. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by I. Moreno
    0-1
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces Guilherme Castilho
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: R. Pizarro replaces R. Fulgencio

Juarez vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +170, Puebla +165, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Juarez: 36.6%
  • Puebla: 37.7%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 1-1 Puebla (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Juarez vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.7%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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