Juarez vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Puebla Liga MX match on April 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Juarez
1
:
1
Apr 3, 9:00 PM ET
Puebla
Apr 3, 9:00 PM ET
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
I. Moreno (55')
Soccer ball icon
N. Diaz (82')
Red Card icon
Madson (77')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Juarez
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces I. Moreno
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces A. Organista
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces E. Gomez
82'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
82'
Red Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by Madson, assisted by F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin
1-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: E. Ayon replaces O. Estupinan
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin replaces J. Aquino
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: Madson replaces D. Garcia
66'
Yellow Card
F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces A. Canelo
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by I. Moreno
0-1
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces Guilherme Castilho
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: R. Pizarro replaces R. Fulgencio

Juarez vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, April 3, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +170, Puebla +165, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Juarez: 36.6%
  • Puebla: 37.7%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 1-1 Puebla (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Juarez vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.7%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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