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Guadalajara vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Atlas at the Liga MX on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
1
Mar 8, 1:05AM Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Mar 8, 1:05AM Estadio Jalisco
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
P. Ramirez (12')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (48')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (pen.) (84')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
G. Aguirre (Atlas) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces A. Sepulveda
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces A. Rocha
90'
Yellow Card
M. Capasso (Atlas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces R. Alvarado
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces O. Govea
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Gonzalez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces A. Gonzalez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: E. Aguirre replaces S. Hernandez
85'
Yellow Card
A. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda (pen.)
2-1
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces E. Zaldivar
73'
Penalty missed by A. Gonzalez for Guadalajara Chivas
71'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Atlas) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Alvarado
1-1
45'
Yellow Card
B. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by P. Ramirez
0-1

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Guadalajara vs. Atlas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Atlas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -150, Atlas +430, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-118)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 48.8%
  • Atlas: 25.1%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-0 Atlas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.8% probability, while Atlas sits at 25.1%, with the draw at 26.0%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Atlas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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