Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana Liga MX match on August 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
2
Estadio Caliente
Club Tijuana
Estadio Caliente
Club TijuanaTIJ
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
I. Rivero (44')
Soccer ball icon
G. Mora (54')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (45')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Tijuana
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces A. Montes
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Suarez replaces J. Marquez
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Zapata replaces G. Mora
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: F. Gonzalez replaces I. Tona
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: Y. Padilla replaces R. Arciga
  6. 80'
    Yellow Card
    J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Gonzalez replaces C. Ebere
  8. 74'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marquez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces L. Romero
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Rodriguez
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: M. El Ghezouani replaces D. Abreu
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    A. Montes (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  13. 57'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rivero (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  14. 56'
    Yellow Card
    A. Preciado (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  15. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by G. Mora, assisted by A. Vega
    1-2
  16. 49'
    Yellow Card
    C. Ebere (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Vega replaces P. N. Ortiz Orozco
  18. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by N. Ibanez, assisted by L. Romero
    1-1
  19. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by I. Rivero, assisted by G. Mora
    0-1

Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana
  • Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Caliente

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +150, Club Tijuana +188, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 49.6%
  • Club Tijuana: 26.7%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Club Tijuana (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.6%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Club Tijuana.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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