Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao La Liga match on January 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Athletic Bilbao
1
2
Jan 24, 12:30 PM ET
Sevilla
Jan 24, 12:30 PM ET
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Peque (42')
Soccer ball icon
A. Adams (pen.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
R. Navarro (40')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Yellow Card
Joan Jordan (Sevilla) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Joan Jordan replaces Peque
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces I. Romero
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Serrano replaces O. Sancet
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: M. Bueno replaces N. Gudelj
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces M. Jauregizar
62'
Yellow Card
N. Gudelj (Sevilla) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces R. Navarro
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Hierro replaces Izeta
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Oso replaces G. Suazo
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Adams (pen.)
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Castrin replaces D. Sow
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by Peque, assisted by J. Sanchez
1-1
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by R. Navarro
1-0
22'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
21'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +165, Athletic Bilbao +200, draw +205
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+144/-175)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 36.3%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 34.7%
  • Draw: 29.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.3%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.