Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid La Liga match on October 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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STARTS IN 6d
LA LIGA
STARTS IN 6d
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
vs.
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Pre-Game Predictions Last Update:

Moneyline

  • Atletico Madrid
    50.0%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Draw
    24.6%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Alaves
    25.4%
    PolymarketPolymarket

Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves 23¢, Atletico Madrid 53¢, draw 26¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (53¢/48¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 25.4%
  • Atletico Madrid: 50.0%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid? Prediction & correct score

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.0%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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