Getafe vs. Malaga prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/20/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Getafe and Malaga, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 48.0% chance of Getafe winning, a 23.7% chance for Malaga, and a 28.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63.4% chance of staying under., with a 58.4% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Malaga +355, Getafe +113
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+194/-203)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Malaga @ +355 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +194 via Polymarket

According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Getafe win being the most probable:

• Getafe 1-0 Malaga (15.3% probability)
• Getafe 1-1 Malaga (12.8%)
• Getafe 0-0 Malaga (11.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 41.6% chance of both Getafe and Malaga finding the net and a 58.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga action between Getafe and Malaga at Coliseum is scheduled to start in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Getafe vs. Malaga
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
• Venue: Coliseum

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Getafe has a 48.0% win probability on Sunday, Malaga has a 23.7% win probability, and there is a 28.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.