Valencia vs. Real Sociedad prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/20/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's La Liga match between Valencia and Real Sociedad, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 36.5% chance of Valencia winning, a 37.1% chance for Real Sociedad, and a 26.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.9% chance of staying under., with a 52.9% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Real Sociedad +170, Valencia +186
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Valencia @ +186 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -108 via Novig

According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Valencia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Valencia 1-1 Real Sociedad (12.6% probability)
• Valencia 0-1 Real Sociedad (9.7%)
• Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad (9.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 47.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga action between Valencia and Real Sociedad at Estadio de Mestalla is scheduled to begin in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Valencia vs. Real Sociedad
• Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Valencia has a 36.5% win probability on Sunday, Real Sociedad has a 37.1% win probability, and there is a 26.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary La Liga prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.