Valencia vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Valencia vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on September 20, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
3
2
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia
Estadio de Mestalla
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
A. Mayol (57')
Soccer ball icon
L. Beitia (o.g.) (84')
Soccer ball icon
L. Sucic (26')
Soccer ball icon
C. Soler (pen.) (76')
Soccer ball icon
A. Barrenetxea (90')
Soccer ball icon
O. Oskarsson (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Valencia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by A. Barrenetxea, assisted by C. Soler
    3-2
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    O. Oskarsson (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Red Card
    O. Oskarsson (Real Sociedad) sent off for a second yellow card
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: L. Rioja replaces A. Danjuma
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces L. Sucic
  6. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by L. Beitia (o.g.)
    2-2
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: A. Blazquez replaces H. Duro
  8. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
  9. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by C. Soler (pen.)
    2-1
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Elliott replaces G. Rodriguez
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: Y. Herrera replaces J. Gorrotxategi
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces S. Gomez
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces M. Oyarzabal
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces J. Ochieng
  15. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Valencia by A. Mayol, assisted by H. Duro
    1-1
  16. 54'
    Yellow Card
    L. Sucic (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: D. Otorbi replaces F. Ugrinic
  18. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Sociedad by L. Sucic, assisted by J. Ochieng
    1-0
  19. 12'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gaya (Valencia) cautioned
  20. 11'
    Yellow Card
    J. De Haas (Valencia) cautioned

Valencia vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia 2¢, Real Sociedad +150, draw 18¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (50¢/51¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Valencia: 37.0%
  • Real Sociedad: 36.6%
  • Draw: 26.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Valencia 1-1 Real Sociedad (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Valencia vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Valencia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 37.0%.

The most likely correct score is Valencia 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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