Michigan State vs. Kentucky Prediction, Picks and Odds

Michigan State vs. Kentucky: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Michigan State vs. Kentucky
• Date: Tuesday, November 18, 2025
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

• Spread: Kentucky favored at -5
• Total (Over/Under): 152.5
• Moneyline Odds: Michigan State +180, Kentucky -220

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Michigan State: 36%
• Kentucky: 64%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college basketball matchup is Michigan State 75-78 Kentucky.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Michigan State a win probability of 36%, while Kentucky has a win probability of 64%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Kentucky is more likely to beat Michigan State in CBB action at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Michigan State vs. Kentucky predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

Explore our expert college basketball predictions and the best college basketball bets today for more insights and betting opportunities.

Our in-depth analysis includes college basketball player props and college basketball futures, as well as constantly updated college basketball odds and the latest college basketball news.