Crows vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Crows vs. Hawks AFL game on May 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Crows 9.12
66
75
May 21, 5:30 AM ET University of Tasmania Stadium
Hawks 10.15
May 21, 5:30 AM ET University of Tasmania Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: May 21, 2026, 5:23 AM ET

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Crows
    34.6%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Hawks
    65.4%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Crows vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Crows vs. Hawks
  • Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
  • Time: 5:30 AM ET
  • Venue: University of Tasmania Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hawks favored at -9.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Crows +135, Hawks -179

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Crows: 35%
  • Hawks: 65%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this AFL matchup is Crows 74-86 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Crows a win probability of 35%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Crows in the AFL game at University of Tasmania Stadium on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Crows vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert AFL predictions, the best AFL bets today, and the latest AFL news.