Lions vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lions vs. Hawks AFL game on September 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
AFL
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AFL
Lions
Predicted score
89
:
94
Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)
Hawks
Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Lions
    44.0%
  • Hawks
    56.0%

Lions vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lions vs. Hawks
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 3:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lions: 44%
  • Hawks: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this AFL matchup is Lions 89-94 Hawks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lions a win probability of 44%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Lions in the AFL game at Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG) on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lions vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert AFL predictions, the best AFL bets today, and the latest AFL news.