Adelaide Crows vs. Richmond Tigers prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 22 matchup [8/8/2026]

The Adelaide Crows and Richmond Tigers are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, starting at 5:35 AM ET.

Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Crows as the most likely winner in this Tigers vs. Crows prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Crows vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Tigers and Crows, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Crows a 96.8% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Crows (-57.5) have a 72.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 53.7% chance of going over,.

Richmond vs. Adelaide odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Crows @ -5000 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 164.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tigers vs. Crows picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Crows -57.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Crows @ -5000 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 164.5 @ -115 via DraftKings According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Crows -57.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Crows vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Crows and Tigers at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 5:35 AM ET.

• Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Adelaide Crows
• Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
• Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
• Venue: Adelaide Oval

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Crows, with a 96.8% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.