Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos prediction: Swans favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 24 matchup [8/23/2026]

The Sydney Swans will face the North Melbourne Kangaroos in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Sydney Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 1:20 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Swans as the most likely winner in this Kangaroos vs. Swans prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Swans vs. Kangaroos prediction: Who will win Round 24 game?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's AFL game between the Kangaroos and Swans, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Swans a 65.1% chance of defeating the Kangaroos.

According to our model, the Swans (-6.5) have a 57.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 194.5-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of staying under.

North Melbourne vs. Sydney odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Kangaroos +115, Swans -145

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kangaroos vs. Swans picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Swans -6.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Swans @ -145 via DraftKings
• Total: Under 194.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Swans to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Swans vs. Kangaroos game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rules football game between the Swans and Kangaroos at Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 1:20 AM ET.

• Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Sydney Swans
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 1:20 AM ET/10:20PM PT
• Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Swans, with a 65.1% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Sunday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.