Sydney Swans vs. Port Adelaide Power prediction: Swans favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 22 matchup [8/8/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power predictions for AFL Saturday.

Sydney Swans-Port Adelaide Power Predictions and Game Preview.
Sydney Swans vs. Port Adelaide Power AFL prediction for Saturday, August 8, 2026.

AFL action continues on Saturday at 2:15 AM ET as the Port Adelaide Power take on the favored Sydney Swans at Sydney Cricket Ground.

Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Swans as the most likely winner in this Power vs. Swans prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Swans vs. Power prediction: Who will win Round 22 game?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Power and Swans, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Swans a 93.4% chance of defeating the Power.

According to our model, the Swans (-48.5) have a 50.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 50.2% chance of staying under,.

 

Port Adelaide vs. Sydney odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Swans @ -1429 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 182.5 @ -115 via DraftKings

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Power vs. Swans picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Swans -48.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Swans @ -1429 via DraftKings
  • Total: Under 182.5 @ -115 via DraftKings According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Swans to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Swans vs. Power game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Swans and Power at Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 2:15 AM ET.

  • Who: Port Adelaide Power vs. Sydney Swans
  • Date: Saturday, August 8, 2026
  • Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
  • Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Swans, with a 93.4% win probability, will likely beat the Power in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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