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Read Article Collingwood Magpies vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Why Magpies are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 19 matchup [7/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Saturday.
AFL action continues on Saturday at 5:35 AM ET as the Carlton Blues lock horns with the Collingwood Magpies at Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Magpies as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Magpies game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Magpies vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 19 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL game between the Blues and Magpies, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Magpies a 53.7% chance of defeating the Blues.
According to our model, the Blues (+5.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 163.5-point over/under has a 50.9% chance of staying under,.
Carlton vs. Collingwood odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blues | Magpies |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +115 | -145 |
| Line (Spread) | +5.5 (-115) | -5.5 (-115) |
| Total | o163.5 (-115) | u163.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Magpies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Blues +5.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Blues | +115 |
| Total | Under 163.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues +5.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magpies vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Magpies and Blues at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: Carlton Blues vs. Collingwood Magpies
- Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Magpies, with a 53.7% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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