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Read Article Western Bulldogs vs. Adelaide Crows prediction: Bulldogs favored to win Thursday's AFL Round 14 matchup [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows predictions for AFL Thursday.
The Western Bulldogs and Adelaide Crows will lock horns in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, starting at 5:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Bulldogs as the most likely winner of the Crows vs. Bulldogs game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bulldogs vs. Crows prediction: Who will win Round 14 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's AFL matchup between the Crows and Bulldogs, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Bulldogs a 56.5% chance of beating the Crows.
According to our model, the Crows (+6.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 180.5-point over/under has a 51.8% chance of staying under,.
Adelaide vs. Bulldogs odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Crows | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +115 | -154 |
| Line (Spread) | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-115) |
| Total | o180.5 (-120) | u180.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Crows vs. Bulldogs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Crows +6.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Crows | +115 |
| Total | Under 180.5 | -120 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Crows +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bulldogs vs. Crows game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Australian rules football game between the Bulldogs and Crows at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:30 AM ET.
- Who: Adelaide Crows vs. Western Bulldogs
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Time: 5:30 AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Bulldogs, with a 56.5% win probability, will likely beat the Crows in Thursday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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