Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

South Dakota is favored to beat Texas Rio Grande Valley at Sanford Coyote Sports Center on Friday (12:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota prediction gives Texas Rio Grande Valley an 82.5% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest the best value is on Texas Rio Grande Valley as the underdog.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota key predictions

• Predicted score: South Dakota 70-59 Texas Rio Grande Valley
• South Dakota win probability: 82.5%
• Texas Rio Grande Valley win probability: 17.5%
• South Dakota -10.5 spread: 52.2% cover probability
• Under 131.5 points: 50.8% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track. BetRivers has the best price in every market for this game.

• Texas Rio Grande Valley moneyline: +410 (BetRivers)
• South Dakota moneyline: -714 (BetRivers)
• Texas Rio Grande Valley +10.5: -110 (BetRivers)
• South Dakota -10.5: -120 (BetRivers)
• Over 131.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)
• Under 131.5 points: -122 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota pick: Texas Rio Grande Valley ML (+410)

Our model makes South Dakota the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Coyotes moneyline at +410 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Texas Rio Grande Valley an implied win probability of 19.6%, while our model puts it at 17.5%.

Despite a -2.1% edge, it's still the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota game details

• Matchup: Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. South Dakota Coyotes
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 12:00 PM ET
• Venue: Sanford Coyote Sports Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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