Connecticut vs. Michigan prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Connecticut is favored to beat Michigan at Crisler Center on Thursday (6:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our Connecticut vs. Michigan prediction gives Connecticut a 78.8% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 140.5 points.

Connecticut vs. Michigan key predictions

• Predicted score: Connecticut 72-62 Michigan
• Connecticut win probability: 78.8%
• Michigan win probability: 21.2%
• Michigan +9.5 spread: 51.2% cover probability
• Under 140.5 points: 53.7% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

Connecticut vs. Michigan odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Connecticut moneyline: -355 (DraftKings)
• Michigan moneyline: +300 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Connecticut -9.5: -110 (DraftKings)
• Michigan +9.5: -110 (DraftKings)
• Over 140.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)
• Under 140.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Connecticut vs. Michigan pick: Under 140.5 (-110)

Our model makes Connecticut the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 140.5 total points at -110 on DraftKings.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 53.7%.

That's a 1.4% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Connecticut vs. Michigan game details

• Matchup: Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 6:30 PM ET
• Venue: Crisler Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.