North Florida vs. Florida State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Florida State is favored to beat North Florida at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center on Thursday (11:00 AM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our North Florida vs. Florida State prediction gives Florida State a 97.7% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the under 149.5 points.

North Florida vs. Florida State key predictions

• Predicted score: Florida State 82-57 North Florida
• Florida State win probability: 97.7%
• North Florida win probability: 2.3%
• North Florida +33.5 spread: 53.6% cover probability
• Under 149.5 points: 56.6% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

North Florida vs. Florida State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• North Florida +33.5: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Florida State -33.5: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 149.5 points: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 149.5 points: -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

North Florida vs. Florida State pick: Under 149.5 (-115)

Our model makes Florida State the likelier winner, at -115** on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 53.5%, while our model puts it at 56.6%.

That's a 3.1% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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North Florida vs. Florida State game details

• Matchup: North Florida Ospreys vs. Florida State Seminoles
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 11:00 AM ET
• Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.