Tarleton State vs. Texas prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Texas is favored to beat Tarleton State at Moody Center on Saturday (1:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' women's basketball model.

Our Tarleton State vs. Texas prediction gives Tarleton State a 99.4% chance of getting the W, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Texas to cover at -48.5, too.

Tarleton State vs. Texas key predictions

• Predicted score: Texas 91-36 Tarleton State
• Texas win probability: 99.4%
• Tarleton State win probability: 0.6%
• Texas -48.5 spread: 57.0% cover probability
• Under 131.5 points: 52.6% probability

Our women's basketball predictions start with projected final scores for both teams, based on each team's recent and long-term efficiency at both ends of the floor, adjusted for the matchup.

We pair those projections with historical scoring trends to calculate win, spread, and total probabilities, then compare them with current odds to find betting value.

Tarleton State vs. Texas odds

These are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Tarleton State +48.5: -108 (DraftKings)
• Texas -48.5: -112 (DraftKings)
• Over 131.5 points: -110 (DraftKings)
• Under 131.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Tarleton State vs. Texas pick: Texas -48.5 (-112)

Our model makes Texas the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Tarleton State to cover the -48.5 spread at -112 on DraftKings, too.

Those odds give Texas an implied cover probability of 52.8%, while our model puts it at 57.0%.

That's a 4.2% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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Tarleton State vs. Texas game details

• Matchup: Tarleton State vs. Texas Longhorns
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Moody Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our women's basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.