Rinky Hijikata vs. Andrey Rublev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hangzhou Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Hijikata-Rublev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Rublev a 70% chance of beating Hijikata at the ATP Hangzhou Open tournament. Additionally, Rublev has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rublev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Andrey Rublev -280, Rinky Hijikata +245
• First Set: Hijikata +175, Rublev -227

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Hijikata @ +245 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rublev @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Rinky Hijikata to win.

Although Hijikata is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Hangzhou Open match between Rinky Hijikata and Andrey Rublev is scheduled to commence on Friday at 3:50 AM ET.

• Who: Rinky Hijikata vs. Andrey Rublev
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:50 AM ET/12:50AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Hangzhou, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Andrey Rublev, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Rinky Hijikata at the ATP Hangzhou Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.