Alejandro Tabilo vs. Adrian Mannarino prediction, odds, picks for ATP Chengdu Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Tabilo-Mannarino men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Tabilo a 61% chance of beating Mannarino at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament. Additionally, Tabilo has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tabilo (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 22.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Adrian Mannarino +150, Alejandro Tabilo -167
• First Set: Tabilo -189, Mannarino +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Mannarino @ +150 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mannarino @ -102 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Chengdu Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Adrian Mannarino is scheduled to begin on Friday at 2:10 AM ET.

• Who: Alejandro Tabilo vs. Adrian Mannarino
• Date: Friday, September 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 AM ET/11:10PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Chengdu, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alejandro Tabilo, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Adrian Mannarino at the ATP Chengdu Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.